Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Canelas 2010 vs Anadia

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Doukoure H.
41' Event
Lourenco O.
62'
Sub
Perdigao In: Diallo M.
Out: Perdigao

AI Match Summary

Canelas 2010 in this Liga 3 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Canelas 2010.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Canelas 2010
35%
Draws
49%
Anadia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Anadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Canelas 2010 haven't matched Anadia's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Canelas 2010 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Canelas 2010 Clean Sheet 20%
Anadia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canelas 2010 Anadia
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Liga 3
Anadia vs Canelas 2010
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Liga 3
Canelas 2010 vs Anadia
2:0
Nov 5, 2023 Liga 3
Anadia vs Canelas 2010
1:4
Aug 8, 2023 Liga 3
Canelas 2010 vs Anadia
3:2
Apr 29, 2023 Liga 3
Canelas 2010 vs Anadia
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canelas 2010 Compare

Top Goalscorer Doukoure H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lourenco O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Anadia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canelas 2010 32 / 100
Anadia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canelas 2010 Anadia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anadia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Canelas 2010 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Anadia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

Solid form: Canelas 2010 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Anadia
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Canelas 2010

(Home)
04 May
Canelas 2010
0 : 2
AD Fafe
27 Apr
Anadia
1 : 0
Canelas 2010
14 Apr
Trofense
4 : 1
Canelas 2010
07 Apr
Canelas 2010
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
30 Mar
SC Vianense
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
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Anadia

(Away)
18 Apr
Vila Mea
0 : 0
Anadia
12 Apr
Anadia
2 : 1
CD Gouveia
04 Apr
Uniao Lamas
0 : 0
Anadia
22 Mar
Anadia
0 : 3
FC Alpendorada
15 Mar
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Anadia
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