Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Canelas 2010 vs GD Fontinhas

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Tanque A.
16' Event
Gabriel Tigrao
36' Event
Tanque A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Canelas 2010 host GD Fontinhas in the Taça de Portugal 2023/2024. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Canelas 2010 at 1 goals for, 1.5 against; GD Fontinhas at 1 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor Canelas 2010 slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 24, 2023, ending 5:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.25) point toward Canelas 2010. Canelas 2010 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Canelas 2010
28%
Draws
50%
GD Fontinhas
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: GD Fontinhas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • GD Fontinhas has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Canelas 2010.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for GD Fontinhas.
  • Cup tournament structure in Taça de Portugal 2023/2024 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Canelas 2010 Clean Sheet 19%
GD Fontinhas Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canelas 2010 GD Fontinhas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2023 Taça de Portugal
Canelas 2010 vs GD Fontinhas
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canelas 2010 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tanque A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

GD Fontinhas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canelas 2010 24 / 100
GD Fontinhas 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canelas 2010 GD Fontinhas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canelas 2010 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

GD Fontinhas let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Canelas 2010 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

GD Fontinhas lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canelas 2010 VS GD Fontinhas
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Moncarapachense-
TBD-
CU Micaelense1
GD Alcochetense0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vitoria Guimaraes-
Ponte-
TBD-
TBD-
Vilaverdense FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
SC Farense-
Valadares Gaia FC4
Torre De Moncorvo0
TBD-
Penafiel-
SC Salgueiros2
FC Foz0
TBD-
Santa Maria FC-
Sao Joao de Ver-
TBD-
TBD-
Leixoes-
Anadia2
Sanjoanense3
TBD-
Vitoria Setubal-
Tomar-
TBD-
Pero Pinheiro2
Caldas SC1
Padernense1
Serpa2
TBD-
CD Gouveia-
Atletico SC0
CDR Quarteirense2
TBD-
CF Os Belenenses-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gil Vicente-
Uniao Lamas2
Paredes3
Florgrade3
Beira Mar1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Moreirense-
Sertanense-
TBD-
TBD-
Amarante FC-
Academica3
Uniao de Coimbra0
Fornos de Algodres0
Oliveira Hospital5
O Elvas CAD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lanheses-
ACDR Lamelas-
TBD-
TBD-
Tirsense-
SC Vila Real0
Ribeirao2
TBD-
Santa Clara-
Vitoria Sernache-
TBD-
Aliados Lordelo1
SC Vianense3
CD Portosantense1
Gondomar0
TBD-
Nacional-
FC Barreirense-
TBD-
TBD-
SC Mirandela-
CD Rabo Peixe-
TBD-
TBD-
Oliveira do Douro-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Casa Pia-
Juv. Evora3
Portel0
Sintrense2
Operario0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Estoril-
Gafetense-
TBD-
TBD-
Mafra-
Brito-
TBD-
TBD-
Feirense-
Vilar de Perdizes-
TBD-
TBD-
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Porto-
GD Peniche2
Marinhense1
Mondinense0
CDC Montalegre2
Trofense-
TBD-
TBD-
Pevidem-
Canelas 2010-
TBD-
FC Flamengos0
GD Fontinhas2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chaves-
Guadalupe0
Fabril do Barreiro1
TBD-
Maritimo-
Mortagua FC-
TBD-
Amora8
Vitoria FC Pico0
Lusitania FC10
Regua0
TBD-
Academico Viseu-
Pedrogao Sao Pedro-
TBD-
TBD-
Leiria-
Atletico Arcos-
TBD-
TBD-
Malveira-
Alqueidao3
CD Torres Novas2
TBD-
AD Marco 09-
Rebordelo1
Os Sandinenses3
Real SC1
Olivais e Moscavide2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sporting CP-
Dumiense-
TBD-
Santarem6
Proenca-A-Nova0
Louletano1
Imortal0
TBD-
AFS-
Oriental-
TBD-
TBD-
Torreense-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rio Ave-
SC Vilanovense0
SC Pombal2
TBD-
Tondela-
1º Dezembro-
TBD-
TBD-
Pacos Ferreira-
Atletico CP-
TBD-
Alverca13
CF Os Gavionenses0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vizela-
Castrense1
Penedo Gordo0
TBD-
Vila Mea-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Estrela da Amadora-
AD Fafe1
FC Felgueiras2
AD Limianos3
Varzim2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Arouca-
Amiense0
SB Castelo Branco7
TBD-
Oliveirense-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Boavista-
SC Lusitania-
TBD-
TBD-
Os Marialvas-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Benfica-
Luzense-
TBD-
TBD-
Camacha-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Famalicao-
Lusitano GC2
Industria0
TBD-
Covilha-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Portimonense-
Lusitano FCV0
Tocha2
Rebordosa2
Lobao1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Braga-
1/64-finals
Moncarapachense6
CU Micaelense2
TBD-
Vitoria Guimaraes-
Ponte0
Vilaverdense FC5
TBD-
SC Farense-
Valadares Gaia FC1
Penafiel2
SC Salgueiros0
Santa Maria FC1
Sao Joao de Ver0
Leixoes1
Sanjoanense0
Vitoria Setubal1
Tomar1
Pero Pinheiro2
Serpa2
CD Gouveia1
CDR Quarteirense0
CF Os Belenenses1
TBD-
Gil Vicente-
Paredes5
Florgrade1
TBD-
Moreirense-
Sertanense0
Amarante FC2
Academica3
Oliveira Hospital2
O Elvas CAD1
Lanheses0
ACDR Lamelas1
Tirsense3
Ribeirao0
Santa Clara3
Vitoria Sernache0
SC Vianense3
CD Portosantense2
Nacional4
FC Barreirense0
SC Mirandela3
CD Rabo Peixe3
Oliveira do Douro2
TBD-
Casa Pia-
Juv. Evora1
Sintrense2
TBD-
Estoril-
Gafetense0
Mafra5
Brito0
Feirense2
Vilar de Perdizes5
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira1
TBD-
FC Porto-
GD Peniche2
CDC Montalegre3
Trofense0
Pevidem1
Canelas 20105
GD Fontinhas0
TBD-
Chaves-
Fabril do Barreiro1
Maritimo3
Mortagua FC2
Amora1
Lusitania FC1
Academico Viseu2
Pedrogao Sao Pedro0
Leiria12
Atletico Arcos2
Malveira3
Alqueidao1
AD Marco 093
Os Sandinenses1
Olivais e Moscavide3
TBD-
Sporting CP-
Dumiense4
Santarem3
Louletano0
AFS1
Oriental0
Torreense1
TBD-
Rio Ave-
SC Pombal0
Tondela5
1º Dezembro1
Pacos Ferreira0
Atletico CP1
Alverca0
TBD-
Vizela-
Castrense0
Vila Mea3
TBD-
Estrela da Amadora-
FC Felgueiras4
AD Limianos0
TBD-
Arouca-
SB Castelo Branco1
Oliveirense2
TBD-
Boavista-
SC Lusitania1
Os Marialvas0
TBD-
Benfica-
Luzense0
Camacha3
TBD-
Famalicao-
Lusitano GC0
Covilha1
TBD-
Portimonense-
Tocha2
Rebordosa4
TBD-
Braga-
1/32-finals
Moncarapachense1
Vitoria Guimaraes3
Vilaverdense FC3
SC Farense2
Penafiel3
Santa Maria FC0
Leixoes1
Vitoria Setubal2
Pero Pinheiro0
Serpa1
CF Os Belenenses1
Gil Vicente2
Paredes2
Moreirense1
Amarante FC1
Academica0
O Elvas CAD2
Tirsense1
Santa Clara2
SC Vianense0
Nacional6
SC Mirandela1
CD Rabo Peixe0
Casa Pia2
Sintrense0
Estoril5
Mafra3
Feirense1
Vilar de Perdizes0
FC Porto2
CDC Montalegre2
Pevidem1
Canelas 20101
Chaves0
Maritimo4
Mortagua FC1
Academico Viseu1
Leiria3
Malveira2
AD Marco 091
Olivais e Moscavide1
Sporting CP3
Dumiense1
AFS0
Torreense2
Rio Ave1
Tondela2
1º Dezembro1
Atletico CP0
Vizela1
Vila Mea0
Estrela da Amadora1
FC Felgueiras1
Arouca3
Oliveirense1
Boavista3
SC Lusitania1
Benfica4
Camacha0
Famalicao5
Covilha1
Portimonense4
Rebordosa0
Braga2
1/16-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes4
Vilaverdense FC1
Penafiel3
Vitoria Setubal2
Serpa0
Gil Vicente1
Paredes0
Amarante FC2
O Elvas CAD1
Santa Clara2
Nacional1
Casa Pia0
Estoril2
Mafra1
FC Porto4
CDC Montalegre0
Canelas 20101
Maritimo3
Leiria5
Malveira0
Sporting CP8
Dumiense0
Torreense1
Tondela2
Vizela2
Estrela da Amadora1
Arouca3
Boavista2
Benfica2
Famalicao0
Portimonense1
Braga4
1/8-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Penafiel0
Gil Vicente3
Amarante FC1
Santa Clara2
Nacional1
Estoril0
FC Porto4
Maritimo0
Leiria3
Sporting CP4
Tondela0
Vizela1
Arouca0
Benfica3
Braga2
Quarter-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes3
Gil Vicente1
Santa Clara1
FC Porto2
Leiria0
Sporting CP3
Vizela1
Benfica2
Semi-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes1
FC Porto4
Sporting CP4
Benfica3
Final
FC Porto2
Sporting CP1