Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Canelas 2010 vs Sanjoanense

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Marcelo Santos
13'
Alex Tanque
13'
Fontes B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Canelas 2010
30%
Draws
58%
Sanjoanense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sanjoanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Canelas 2010 have won more games recently than Sanjoanense.
  • Model gives Sanjoanense a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Canelas 2010 Clean Sheet 21%
Sanjoanense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canelas 2010 Sanjoanense
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.1 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Liga 3
Canelas 2010 vs Sanjoanense
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs Canelas 2010
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Liga 3
Canelas 2010 vs Sanjoanense
1:2
Aug 12, 2023 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs Canelas 2010
0:2
Feb 11, 2023 Liga 3
Canelas 2010 vs Sanjoanense
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canelas 2010 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sanjoanense Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelo Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canelas 2010 10 / 100
Sanjoanense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canelas 2010 Sanjoanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanjoanense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanjoanense let in goals in 91% of their last 34 matches.

Attacking prowess: Canelas 2010 scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Canelas 2010 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sanjoanense
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Canelas 2010

(Home)
04 May
Canelas 2010
0 : 2
AD Fafe
27 Apr
Anadia
1 : 0
Canelas 2010
14 Apr
Trofense
4 : 1
Canelas 2010
07 Apr
Canelas 2010
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
30 Mar
SC Vianense
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
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Sanjoanense

(Away)
20 Sept
Anca
1 : 4
Sanjoanense
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1
FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Sanjoanense
3 : 0
Pacos de Brandao
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
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