Sport Picks
Match Events
39'
39'
Lixa G.
42'
42'
Diagne O.
45'
45'
Welisson
AI Match Summary
Canelas 2010 in this Liga 3 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Canelas 2010.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trofense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Canelas 2010 have won more games recently than Trofense.
- 23% — that's where the model lands on Canelas 2010 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Canelas 2010 Clean Sheet 68%
Trofense Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Canelas 2010 | Trofense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 14, 2024 Liga 3
Trofense vs Canelas 2010
4:1
Mar 16, 2024 Liga 3
Canelas 2010 vs Trofense
1:1
Jan 21, 2024 Liga 3
Canelas 2010 vs Trofense
1:0
Oct 7, 2023 Liga 3
Trofense vs Canelas 2010
1:1
Apr 19, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Trofense vs Canelas 2010
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Canelas 2010 59 / 100
Trofense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Canelas 2010 Trofense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Canelas 2010 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Canelas 2010 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Trofense has conceded goals in 79% of their last 34 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Trofense lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Trofense
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Canelas 2010
(Home) 04 May
Canelas 2010
0 : 2 AD Fafe
27 Apr
Anadia
1 : 0 Canelas 2010
14 Apr
Trofense
4 : 1 Canelas 2010
07 Apr
Canelas 2010
1 : 1 Sanjoanense
30 Mar
SC Vianense
0 : 0 Canelas 2010
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Canelas 2010
0 : 2 AD Fafe
07 Apr
Canelas 2010
1 : 1 Sanjoanense
16 Mar
Canelas 2010
1 : 1 Trofense
09 Mar
Canelas 2010
1 : 3 SC Vianense
25 Feb
Canelas 2010
2 : 0 Anadia
Page 1 of 4
Trofense
(Away) 12 Sept
Trofense
1 : 4 Leca
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 0 Trofense
29 Aug
Varzim
5 : 1 Trofense
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
15 Aug
SC Vianense
2 : 0 Trofense
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 0 Trofense
29 Aug
Varzim
5 : 1 Trofense
15 Aug
SC Vianense
2 : 0 Trofense
31 Jul
AFS
1 : 1 Trofense
16 May
Academica
3 : 0 Trofense
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Felgueiras | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 35:11 | 41 |
| 2 | Lusitania FC | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 32:15 | 31 |
| 3 | Varzim | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 19:17 | 28 |
| 4 | Braga B | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 26:22 | 27 |
| 5 | Canelas 2010 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 21:28 | 25 |
| 6 | AD Fafe | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13:19 | 24 |
| 7 | Trofense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:20 | 20 |
| 8 | Anadia | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 25:32 | 20 |
| 9 | Sanjoanense | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:34 | 19 |
| 10 | SC Vianense | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14:25 | 12 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 27:17 | 32 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 28:19 | 31 |
| 3 | Alverca | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27:19 | 31 |
| 4 | Covilha | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 32:21 | 30 |
| 5 | Sporting CP B | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Caldas SC | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 31:26 | 29 |
| 7 | Oliveira Hospital | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Amora | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:24 | 18 |
| 9 | Pero Pinheiro | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16:37 | 13 |
| 10 | 1º Dezembro | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 11:28 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
