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Canelas 2010 vs Vila Cortez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 game between Canelas 2010 and Vila Cortez finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canelas 2010.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Canelas 2010
20%
Draws
0%
Vila Cortez
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Canelas 2010

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Canelas 2010 come out ahead of Vila Cortez on wins alone.
  • Canelas 2010 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Canelas 2010 Clean Sheet 11%
Vila Cortez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canelas 2010 Vila Cortez
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 14 2
Draws 9 1
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 1.17 0.64
Goals Conceded 1.25 3.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vila Cortez vs Canelas 2010
0:3
Jan 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Canelas 2010 vs Vila Cortez
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canelas 2010 83 / 100
Vila Cortez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canelas 2010 Vila Cortez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canelas 2010 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Cortez has conceded goals in 100% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Vila Cortez registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Canelas 2010 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (36 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Canelas 2010 VS Vila Cortez
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Canelas 2010

(Home)
04 May
Canelas 2010
0 : 2
AD Fafe
27 Apr
Anadia
1 : 0
Canelas 2010
14 Apr
Trofense
4 : 1
Canelas 2010
07 Apr
Canelas 2010
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
30 Mar
SC Vianense
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
Page 1 of 8

Vila Cortez

(Away)
08 Sept
Vila Cortez
2 : 4
Anadia
11 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 1
Vila Cortez
10 Apr
Vila Cortez
0 : 3
Canelas 2010
03 Apr
Valadares Gaia FC
8 : 0
Vila Cortez
14 Mar
Anadia
7 : 0
Vila Cortez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anadia 22 13 5 4 39:15 44
2 Canelas 2010 22 12 5 5 28:13 41
3 Lusitania FC 22 11 6 5 38:26 39
4 Sao Joao de Ver 22 10 8 4 30:14 38
5 Sanjoanense 22 8 12 2 26:13 36
6 Castro Daire 22 10 5 7 23:24 35
7 Valadares Gaia FC 22 10 3 9 36:27 33
8 SC Espinho 22 9 4 9 33:22 31
9 Beira Mar 22 9 4 9 30:23 31
10 Agueda 22 4 5 13 17:28 17
11 Lusitano FCV 22 4 4 14 17:34 16
12 Vila Cortez 22 1 1 20 8:86 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)