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Canicatti vs Portici 1906

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Camara P.
62' Event
Capuano G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Canicatti
6%
Draws
4%
Portici 1906
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Canicatti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Canicatti have won more games recently than Portici 1906.
  • Canicatti are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Canicatti Clean Sheet 20%
Portici 1906 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canicatti Portici 1906
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs Portici 1906
1:1
Sep 16, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Portici 1906 vs Canicatti
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canicatti Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Portici 1906 Compare

Top Goalscorer Capuano G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canicatti 85 / 100
Portici 1906 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canicatti Portici 1906

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portici 1906 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Canicatti's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Canicatti went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canicatti VS Portici 1906
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Canicatti

(Home)
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
21 Apr
Canicatti
5 : 0
AS Acireale
14 Apr
Reggina
5 : 0
Canicatti
07 Apr
Canicatti
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
28 Mar
Sancataldese
0 : 0
Canicatti
Page 1 of 6

Portici 1906

(Away)
05 May
Akragas
1 : 0
Portici 1906
28 Apr
Portici 1906
0 : 1
Vibonese
21 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 1
Portici 1906
14 Apr
Portici 1906
0 : 5
Trapani
07 Apr
USD Ragusa
4 : 0
Portici 1906
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trapani34304095:1594
2Siracusa34256379:2681
3Vibonese34226667:2972
4Reggina34198754:2565
5AS Acireale341591039:4154
6S. Agata341571246:3552
7Real Casalnuovo341561352:4951
8USD Ragusa341481241:3850
9Canicatti341461455:5148
10Igea Virtus341361538:4045
11Licata341271543:5443
12Akragas341261642:5342
13Sancataldese349101532:4337
14Portici 190634881832:5532
15San Luca346121637:5529
16Locri 190934772034:6828
17Castrovillari342122029:7617
18Nuova Gioiese34322918:8011
19Lamezia Terme00000:00
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)