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Canicatti vs Reggina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Martinez M.
43' Event
Bolzicco T.

AI Match Summary

Reggina in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Reggina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Canicatti
40%
Draws
29%
Reggina
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Reggina have won more games recently than Canicatti.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Canicatti Clean Sheet 19%
Reggina Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canicatti Reggina
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 11 21
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Canicatti
5:0
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs Reggina
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canicatti Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Reggina Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolzicco T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canicatti 32 / 100
Reggina 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canicatti Reggina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canicatti's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Canicatti went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Reggina has conceded goals in 41% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Reggina
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Canicatti

(Home)
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
21 Apr
Canicatti
5 : 0
AS Acireale
14 Apr
Reggina
5 : 0
Canicatti
07 Apr
Canicatti
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
28 Mar
Sancataldese
0 : 0
Canicatti
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Reggina

(Away)
17 May
Nissa
0 : 0
Reggina
10 May
Reggina
1 : 0
Athletic Palermo
03 May
Reggina
4 : 2
Sambiase
26 Apr
Milazzo
1 : 2
Reggina
19 Apr
Reggina
2 : 0
Paterno
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trapani34304095:1594
2Siracusa34256379:2681
3Vibonese34226667:2972
4Reggina34198754:2565
5AS Acireale341591039:4154
6S. Agata341571246:3552
7Real Casalnuovo341561352:4951
8USD Ragusa341481241:3850
9Canicatti341461455:5148
10Igea Virtus341361538:4045
11Licata341271543:5443
12Akragas341261642:5342
13Sancataldese349101532:4337
14Portici 190634881832:5532
15San Luca346121637:5529
16Locri 190934772034:6828
17Castrovillari342122029:7617
18Nuova Gioiese34322918:8011
19Lamezia Terme00000:00
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)