Sport Picks

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Canicatti vs San Luca

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Salvia G.
23' Event
Krusnauskas R.
63' Event
Bonilla T.

AI Match Summary

Canicatti in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Canicatti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Canicatti
15%
Draws
20%
San Luca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canicatti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Canicatti have won more games recently than San Luca.
  • Model gives Canicatti a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Canicatti Clean Sheet 20%
San Luca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canicatti San Luca
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 4 10
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.68 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs San Luca
4:2
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs Canicatti
2:0
Feb 26, 2023 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs Canicatti
1:0
Oct 23, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs San Luca
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canicatti Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonilla T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Salvia G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

San Luca Compare

Top Goalscorer Krusnauskas R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sofra M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canicatti 85 / 100
San Luca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canicatti San Luca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canicatti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canicatti scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

San Luca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Canicatti has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Canicatti VS San Luca
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Canicatti

(Home)
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
21 Apr
Canicatti
5 : 0
AS Acireale
14 Apr
Reggina
5 : 0
Canicatti
07 Apr
Canicatti
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
28 Mar
Sancataldese
0 : 0
Canicatti
Page 1 of 6

San Luca

(Away)
12 May
San Luca
0 : 2
Locri 1909
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
28 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
21 Apr
Akragas
1 : 2
San Luca
14 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Vibonese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)