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Canicatti vs San Luca

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Salvia G.
23' Event
Krusnauskas R.
63' Event
Bonilla T.

AI Match Summary

Canicatti in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Canicatti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Canicatti
6%
Draws
4%
San Luca
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Canicatti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Canicatti have won more games recently than San Luca.
  • Model gives Canicatti a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Canicatti Clean Sheet 20%
San Luca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canicatti San Luca
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 4 10
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs San Luca
4:2
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs Canicatti
2:0
Feb 26, 2023 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs Canicatti
1:0
Oct 23, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs San Luca
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canicatti Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonilla T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Salvia G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

San Luca Compare

Top Goalscorer Krusnauskas R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sofra M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canicatti 85 / 100
San Luca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canicatti San Luca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canicatti scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

San Luca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Canicatti has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Canicatti VS San Luca
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Canicatti

(Home)
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
21 Apr
Canicatti
5 : 0
AS Acireale
14 Apr
Reggina
5 : 0
Canicatti
07 Apr
Canicatti
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
28 Mar
Sancataldese
0 : 0
Canicatti
Page 1 of 6

San Luca

(Away)
12 May
San Luca
0 : 2
Locri 1909
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
28 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
21 Apr
Akragas
1 : 2
San Luca
14 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Vibonese
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trapani34304095:1594
2Siracusa34256379:2681
3Vibonese34226667:2972
4Reggina34198754:2565
5AS Acireale341591039:4154
6S. Agata341571246:3552
7Real Casalnuovo341561352:4951
8USD Ragusa341481241:3850
9Canicatti341461455:5148
10Igea Virtus341361538:4045
11Licata341271543:5443
12Akragas341261642:5342
13Sancataldese349101532:4337
14Portici 190634881832:5532
15San Luca346121637:5529
16Locri 190934772034:6828
17Castrovillari342122029:7617
18Nuova Gioiese34322918:8011
19Lamezia Terme00000:00
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)