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Canicatti vs Vibonese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ordonez J.
12' Event
Bonilla T.
40'
Gambicchia M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Canicatti and Vibonese finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vibonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Canicatti
20%
Draws
40%
Vibonese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Canicatti haven't matched Vibonese's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Canicatti's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Vibonese have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Canicatti Clean Sheet 20%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canicatti Vibonese
Matches Played 28 42
Wins 11 17
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.68 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Canicatti
2:0
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs Vibonese
1:3
Mar 26, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Canicatti
3:1
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs Vibonese
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canicatti Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonilla T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Vibonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Ordonez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Onraita F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canicatti 36 / 100
Vibonese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canicatti Vibonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Canicatti scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Canicatti has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vibonese has conceded goals in 57% of their last 42 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vibonese
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Canicatti

(Home)
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
21 Apr
Canicatti
5 : 0
AS Acireale
14 Apr
Reggina
5 : 0
Canicatti
07 Apr
Canicatti
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
28 Mar
Sancataldese
0 : 0
Canicatti
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Vibonese

(Away)
04 Oct
Vibonese
2 : 0
Digiesse PraiaTortora
27 Sept
Nissa
0 : 2
Vibonese
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)