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Canicatti vs Vibonese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ordonez J.
12' Event
Bonilla T.
40'
Gambicchia M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Canicatti and Vibonese finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vibonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Canicatti
6%
Draws
4%
Vibonese
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Canicatti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vibonese haven't matched Canicatti's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Canicatti's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Vibonese have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Canicatti Clean Sheet 68%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canicatti Vibonese
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Canicatti
2:0
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs Vibonese
1:3
Mar 26, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Canicatti
3:1
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs Vibonese
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canicatti Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonilla T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Vibonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Ordonez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Onraita F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canicatti 95 / 100
Vibonese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canicatti Vibonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Canicatti scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Vibonese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Canicatti has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vibonese
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Canicatti

(Home)
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
21 Apr
Canicatti
5 : 0
AS Acireale
14 Apr
Reggina
5 : 0
Canicatti
07 Apr
Canicatti
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
28 Mar
Sancataldese
0 : 0
Canicatti
Page 1 of 6

Vibonese

(Away)
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
Gela
1 : 1
Vibonese
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1
Vibonese
19 Apr
Vibonese
2 : 3
Athletic Palermo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trapani34304095:1594
2Siracusa34256379:2681
3Vibonese34226667:2972
4Reggina34198754:2565
5AS Acireale341591039:4154
6S. Agata341571246:3552
7Real Casalnuovo341561352:4951
8USD Ragusa341481241:3850
9Canicatti341461455:5148
10Igea Virtus341361538:4045
11Licata341271543:5443
12Akragas341261642:5342
13Sancataldese349101532:4337
14Portici 190634881832:5532
15San Luca346121637:5529
16Locri 190934772034:6828
17Castrovillari342122029:7617
18Nuova Gioiese34322918:8011
19Lamezia Terme00000:00
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)