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Canillas vs CDE Madrid

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CDE Madrid in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CDE Madrid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Canillas
20%
Draws
80%
CDE Madrid
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CDE Madrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CDE Madrid lately — more wins on the board than Canillas.
  • Model gives CDE Madrid a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Canillas Clean Sheet 19%
CDE Madrid Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canillas CDE Madrid
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs CDE Madrid
0:1
Oct 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CDE Madrid vs Canillas
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canillas 10 / 100
CDE Madrid 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canillas CDE Madrid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDE Madrid Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CDE Madrid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Canillas scored in 69% of their last 36 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Canillas VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Canillas

(Home)
11 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Canillas
04 May
Canillas
2 : 5
RSD Alcala
27 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 2
Canillas
17 Apr
Canillas
0 : 3
Leganes B
12 Apr
Tres Cantos
3 : 0
Canillas
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CDE Madrid

(Away)
25 Aug
Torrijos
0 : 0
CDE Madrid
23 Apr
CDE Madrid
1 : 0
Real Aranjuez
16 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 2
CDE Madrid
09 Apr
CDE Madrid
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
02 Apr
Galapagar
1 : 1
CDE Madrid
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ursaria 30 20 8 2 62:22 68
2 RSC Internacional 30 21 4 5 73:27 67
3 Getafe B 30 15 9 6 49:24 54
4 Paracuellos Antamira 30 14 6 10 48:40 48
5 CD Mostoles 30 14 5 11 38:32 47
6 RSD Alcala 30 12 10 8 31:28 46
7 CD Las Rozas 30 13 6 11 37:38 45
8 Trival Valderas 30 11 4 15 38:44 37
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 30 9 10 11 37:47 37
10 AD Torrejon 30 9 8 13 31:42 35
11 Galapagar 30 10 5 15 38:44 35
12 Collado Villalba 30 9 7 14 30:45 34
13 Canillas 30 9 7 14 34:46 34
14 Rayo Vallecano B 30 9 6 15 42:45 33
15 CDE Madrid 30 9 5 16 31:52 32
16 Real Aranjuez 30 4 4 22 21:64 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 (Play Offs)