Sport Picks
Canillas vs Rayo Vallecano B
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 
Match Events
63'
63'
Ybarra J.
89'
89'
Gaviria A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between Canillas and Rayo Vallecano B finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rayo Vallecano B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Rayo Vallecano B come out ahead of Canillas on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Canillas Clean Sheet 20%
Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Canillas | Rayo Vallecano B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 19 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 0.80 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Canillas
3:2
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Rayo Vallecano B
1:1
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Canillas
2:1
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Rayo Vallecano B
1:0
Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Canillas
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Canillas Compare
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83
Rayo Vallecano B Compare
Top Goalscorer Ybarra J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Canillas 32 / 100
Rayo Vallecano B 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Canillas Rayo Vallecano B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayo Vallecano B let in goals in 85% of their last 34 matches.
Attacking prowess: Canillas scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Difficult form: Rayo Vallecano B registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Rayo Vallecano B
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Canillas
(Home) 11 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0 Canillas
04 May
Canillas
2 : 5 RSD Alcala
27 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 2 Canillas
17 Apr
Canillas
0 : 3 Leganes B
12 Apr
Tres Cantos
3 : 0 Canillas
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Canillas
2 : 5 RSD Alcala
17 Apr
Canillas
0 : 3 Leganes B
06 Apr
Canillas
0 : 0 Carabanchel
23 Mar
Canillas
0 : 2 Collado Villalba
09 Mar
Canillas
2 : 2 Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 3
Rayo Vallecano B
(Away) 27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2 Galapagar
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1 Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3 Cala Pozuelo
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
14 Aug
Getafe B
4 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1 Rayo Vallecano B
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
14 Aug
Getafe B
4 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
03 May
Rayo Majadahonda
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
19 Apr
RSD Alcala
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RSD Alcala | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 68:32 | 75 |
| 2 | Rayo Vallecano B | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 71:52 | 61 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 55:48 | 58 |
| 4 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 52:37 | 54 |
| 5 | Galapagar | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 45:41 | 54 |
| 6 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 45:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Collado Villalba | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 44:36 | 52 |
| 8 | Leganes B | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 51 |
| 9 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 55:50 | 47 |
| 10 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Mexico | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 35:49 | 42 |
| 13 | Carabanchel | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 30:29 | 42 |
| 14 | Parla | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Cala Pozuelo | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Aravaca CF | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 42:52 | 35 |
| 17 | Canillas | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 36:68 | 23 |
| 18 | El Alamo | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 29:61 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
