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Cannara vs Lornano Badesse

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Manganelli P.
58' Event
Lucatti G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 game between Cannara and Lornano Badesse finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lornano Badesse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cannara
20%
Draws
40%
Lornano Badesse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Cannara haven't matched Lornano Badesse's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cannara Clean Sheet 10%
Lornano Badesse Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cannara Lornano Badesse
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.62 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Cannara vs Lornano Badesse
0:2
Nov 7, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Cannara
0:0
Jun 9, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Cannara
2:1
Feb 3, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Cannara vs Lornano Badesse
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cannara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Lornano Badesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Manganelli P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucatti G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cannara 30 / 100
Lornano Badesse 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cannara Lornano Badesse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lornano Badesse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cannara stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Cannara found the back of the net in 44% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Cannara VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cannara

(Home)
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0
Cannara
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Cannara
1 : 1
Scandicci
12 Apr
Tau
1 : 0
Cannara
02 Apr
Cannara
1 : 0
San Donato Tavarnelle
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Lornano Badesse

(Away)
15 May
Sangiovannese
2 : 0
Lornano Badesse
08 May
Lornano Badesse
2 : 0
Arezzo
01 May
Foligno
3 : 3
Lornano Badesse
27 Apr
Lornano Badesse
2 : 1
Montespaccato
23 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0
Lornano Badesse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 26 3 5 86:30 81
2 Poggibonsi 34 23 5 6 61:28 74
3 Arezzo 34 18 10 6 65:45 64
4 Follonica Gavorrano 34 18 9 7 63:30 63
5 Pianese 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
6 Lornano Badesse 34 15 9 10 47:43 54
7 Sporting Trestina 34 13 10 11 48:43 49
8 Flaminia 34 13 7 14 49:50 46
9 Tiferno Lerchi 34 10 12 12 36:48 42
10 Montespaccato 34 11 9 14 43:44 42
11 Mobilieri Ponsacco 34 11 9 14 39:40 42
12 Sangiovannese 34 9 14 11 37:39 41
13 Scandicci 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
14 FC Rieti 34 9 8 17 39:58 35
15 Foligno 34 9 8 17 46:65 35
16 Unipomezia 34 8 7 19 38:64 31
17 Cannara 34 5 9 20 27:52 24
18 Pro Livorno 34 5 6 23 31:84 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Out)