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Stadium Background

Cannes vs Fleury-Merogis

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Pierre de Coubertin, Cannes
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
29'
Leleve R.
39'

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cannes
35%
Draws
14%
Fleury-Merogis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cannes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Fleury-Merogis haven't matched Cannes's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Cannes Clean Sheet 68%
Fleury-Merogis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cannes Fleury-Merogis
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.97 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Ligue 3
Cannes vs Fleury-Merogis
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cannes Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Fleury-Merogis Compare

Top Goalscorer Farade K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cannes 41 / 100
Fleury-Merogis 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cannes Fleury-Merogis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cannes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cannes scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Cannes went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Fleury-Merogis has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cannes VS Fleury-Merogis
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cannes

(Home)
20 Aug
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1
Cannes
14 Aug
Cannes
1 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
07 Aug
Rouen
0 : 0
Cannes
26 Jul
Cannes
3 : 3
AS Roma
22 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 4
Cannes
Page 1 of 6

Fleury-Merogis

(Away)
20 Aug
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Orleans
14 Aug
Cannes
1 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
07 Aug
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 0
Amiens SC
25 Jul
Versailles
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
17 Jul
Creteil
3 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thionville 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Rouen 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 La Roche Vendee 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
4 Caen 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
5 Orleans 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
6 Le Puy-en-Velay 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
7 Versailles 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
8 Paris 13 Atletico 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
9 Concarneau 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Cannes 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
11 Villefranche 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
12 Bastia 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Valenciennes 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Bourg Peronnas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Fleury-Merogis 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
16 Amiens SC 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
17 Quevilly 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
18 Aubagne FC 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)