Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cannes vs St. Maur Lusitanos

France France

National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 Stade Pierre de Coubertin, Cannes
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Smith J.
77' Event
Noc M.

AI Match Summary

Cannes in this National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cannes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cannes
35%
Draws
36%
St. Maur Lusitanos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St. Maur Lusitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • St. Maur Lusitanos haven't matched Cannes's recent run of results.
  • Cannes are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cannes have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cannes Clean Sheet 18%
St. Maur Lusitanos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cannes St. Maur Lusitanos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 11 10
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 1.97 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Cannes vs St. Maur Lusitanos
2:0
Aug 16, 2025 National 1 - Group C
St. Maur Lusitanos vs Cannes
1:1
Mar 16, 2002 Ligue 3
Cannes vs St. Maur Lusitanos
3:1
Oct 4, 2001 Ligue 3
St. Maur Lusitanos vs Cannes
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cannes Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Noc M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

St. Maur Lusitanos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cannes 40 / 100
St. Maur Lusitanos 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cannes St. Maur Lusitanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cannes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cannes scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Cannes stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

St. Maur Lusitanos has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

Cannes VS St. Maur Lusitanos
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cannes

(Home)
17 Sept
Bastia
1 : 1
Cannes
10 Sept
Cannes
0 : 0
Amiens SC
05 Sept
Versailles
0 : 3
Cannes
29 Aug
Cannes
2 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
20 Aug
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1
Cannes
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St. Maur Lusitanos

(Away)
19 Sept
Racing Club de France
0 : 0
St. Maur Lusitanos
12 Sept
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Chambly
05 Sept
USLPV
1 : 2
St. Maur Lusitanos
29 Aug
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Saint-Pryve
22 Aug
Biesheim
1 : 1
St. Maur Lusitanos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cannes 30 17 9 4 53:30 60
2 Nimes 30 18 5 7 46:25 59
3 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 15 10 5 40:24 55
4 Rumilly Vallieres 30 13 8 9 49:36 47
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 36:27 45
6 Andrezieux 30 12 9 9 48:33 45
7 Istres 30 11 10 9 42:32 43
8 Creteil 30 12 7 11 36:34 43
9 GOAL FC 30 11 8 11 38:46 40
10 RC Grasse 30 9 9 12 41:42 36
11 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 8 13 37:50 35
12 Limonest 30 9 7 14 36:49 34
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 7 11 12 29:31 32
14 Toulon 30 8 10 12 38:47 31
15 Saint Priest 30 7 9 14 35:50 30
16 Rousset Ste Victoire 30 2 6 22 28:76 12
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)