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Canterbury United W vs Ellerslie W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bellamy C.
39' Event
Roche C.
69' Event
Dominikovich N.

AI Match Summary

Canterbury United W in this National League Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Canterbury United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Canterbury United W
39%
Draws
30%
Ellerslie W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Canterbury United W lately — more wins on the board than Ellerslie W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Canterbury United W Clean Sheet 15%
Ellerslie W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canterbury United W Ellerslie W
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 10 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2023 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Ellerslie W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canterbury United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bellamy C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roche C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ellerslie W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canterbury United W 31 / 100
Ellerslie W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canterbury United W Ellerslie W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canterbury United W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Ellerslie W let in goals in 90% of their last 10 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Ellerslie W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canterbury United W VS Ellerslie W
2.13 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Canterbury United W

(Home)
21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0
Central Football W
15 Nov
Petone W
0 : 2
Canterbury United W
08 Nov
Canterbury United W
0 : 5
West Coast Rangers W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
25 Oct
Southern United W
4 : 0
Canterbury United W
Page 1 of 6

Ellerslie W

(Away)
04 Jul
Ellerslie W
2 : 1
Western Springs W
19 Nov
Southern United W
3 : 0
Ellerslie W
12 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
0 : 1
Ellerslie W
04 Nov
Ellerslie W
0 : 1
Central Football W
28 Oct
Waterside Karori W
3 : 0
Ellerslie W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W971125:922
2Southern United W971122:622
3Eastern Suburbs W970222:1221
4Western Springs W961228:1119
5Wellington United W941418:1613
6Waterside Karori W941418:1613
7Canterbury United W921617:227
8Wellington Phoenix 2 W921612:267
9Central Football W91176:304
10Ellerslie W91083:233
Promotion - National League Women 2023 (Play Offs)