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Canterbury vs Tasman United

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
King G.
75' Event
Clapham A.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2019/2020 game between Canterbury and Tasman United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canterbury.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Canterbury
20%
Draws
40%
Tasman United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tasman United come out ahead of Canterbury on wins alone.
  • Canterbury are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Canterbury Clean Sheet 68%
Tasman United Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canterbury Tasman United
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2020 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Canterbury
0:0
Dec 20, 2019 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Tasman United
2:0
Mar 17, 2019 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Canterbury
0:0
Jan 6, 2019 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Tasman United
1:0
Jan 7, 2018 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Canterbury
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canterbury Compare

Top Goalscorer King G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Clapham A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tasman United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canterbury 68 / 100
Tasman United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canterbury Tasman United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canterbury Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canterbury's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tasman United let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Canterbury went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canterbury VS Tasman United
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Canterbury

(Home)
27 Feb
Canterbury
5 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
14 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 0
Canterbury
06 Feb
Canterbury
2 : 1
Hawke s Bay
31 Jan
Hamilton
1 : 1
Canterbury
Page 1 of 6

Tasman United

(Away)
14 Mar
Hamilton
3 : 3
Tasman United
08 Mar
Wellington Phoenix 2
3 : 1
Tasman United
23 Feb
Tasman United
2 : 1
Auckland City
09 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 1
Tasman United
02 Feb
Tasman United
3 : 1
Hawke s Bay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 16 11 4 1 42:15 37
2 Team Wellington 16 10 4 2 36:15 34
3 Waitakere United 16 8 3 5 35:32 27
4 Eastern Suburbs 16 6 4 6 33:26 22
5 Tasman United 16 6 2 8 27:26 20
6 Hamilton 16 6 2 8 24:39 20
7 Southern United 16 5 4 7 25:38 19
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 16 4 6 6 30:32 18
9 Hawke s Bay 16 4 3 9 32:44 15
10 Canterbury 16 2 4 10 19:36 10
Promotion - Football Championship 2019/2020 (Play Offs)