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Canterbury vs Team Wellington

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Canterbury play Team Wellington in the Football Championship. Team Wellington are favorites here. Recently, Canterbury averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Team Wellington averaged 2.41 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Canterbury won 1, Team Wellington won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 20, 2021 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Canterbury and 2.13 for Team Wellington. This points to a Team Wellington double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Canterbury
18%
Draws
57%
Team Wellington
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Team Wellington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Canterbury picked up more points recently compared to Team Wellington.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Canterbury Clean Sheet 10%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canterbury Team Wellington
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 18
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 1.37 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2021 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Team Wellington
0:2
Dec 19, 2020 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Canterbury
3:1
Feb 23, 2020 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Team Wellington
1:2
Dec 1, 2019 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Canterbury
2:1
Feb 17, 2019 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Team Wellington
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canterbury Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Team Wellington Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinclair J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bevin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canterbury 25 / 100
Team Wellington 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canterbury Team Wellington

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Team Wellington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Team Wellington & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Canterbury attacking → ← attacking Team Wellington

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canterbury scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Team Wellington let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Canterbury went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Team Wellington lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 62
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Auckland City1484227:1328
2Team Wellington1475235:2126
3Hamilton1455423:2120
4Eastern Suburbs1454525:2319
5Waitakere United1446428:2618
6Canterbury1453621:2418
7Hawke s Bay1441917:2913
8Wellington Phoenix 21424818:3710