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Canterbury vs Team Wellington

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Sinclair J.
42' Event
Bevin A.

AI Match Summary

Team Wellington in this Football Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Team Wellington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Canterbury
15%
Draws
58%
Team Wellington
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Team Wellington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Team Wellington lately — more wins on the board than Canterbury.
  • Team Wellington are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Team Wellington have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Canterbury Clean Sheet 10%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canterbury Team Wellington
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.3 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2021 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Team Wellington
0:2
Dec 19, 2020 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Canterbury
3:1
Feb 23, 2020 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Team Wellington
1:2
Dec 1, 2019 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Canterbury
2:1
Feb 17, 2019 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Team Wellington
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canterbury Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Team Wellington Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinclair J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bevin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canterbury 10 / 100
Team Wellington 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canterbury Team Wellington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Team Wellington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canterbury scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Team Wellington has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Canterbury remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Canterbury VS Team Wellington
1.25 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Canterbury

(Home)
27 Feb
Canterbury
5 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
14 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 0
Canterbury
06 Feb
Canterbury
2 : 1
Hawke s Bay
31 Jan
Hamilton
1 : 1
Canterbury
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Team Wellington

(Away)
21 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 4
Team Wellington
13 Mar
Team Wellington
4 : 1
Hamilton
27 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 2
Hamilton
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
13 Feb
Team Wellington
7 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 14 8 4 2 27:13 28
2 Team Wellington 14 7 5 2 35:21 26
3 Hamilton 14 5 5 4 23:21 20
4 Eastern Suburbs 14 5 4 5 25:23 19
5 Waitakere United 14 4 6 4 28:26 18
6 Canterbury 14 5 3 6 21:24 18
7 Hawke s Bay 14 4 1 9 17:29 13
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 14 2 4 8 18:37 10
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