Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Canterbury vs Waitakere United

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Greive A.
62' Event
Gibert G.
81' Event
Connor-McClean A.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship game between Canterbury and Waitakere United finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Waitakere United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Canterbury
20%
Draws
47%
Waitakere United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waitakere United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Canterbury haven't matched Waitakere United's recent run of results.
  • Waitakere United are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Canterbury Clean Sheet 14%
Waitakere United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canterbury Waitakere United
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.36 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2021 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Canterbury
3:3
Nov 14, 2020 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Waitakere United
0:4
Feb 2, 2020 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Waitakere United
1:2
Nov 16, 2019 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Canterbury
1:1
Mar 10, 2019 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Canterbury
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canterbury Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Waitakere United Compare

Top Goalscorer Greive A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gibert G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canterbury 27 / 100
Waitakere United 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canterbury Waitakere United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waitakere United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Canterbury scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Waitakere United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Canterbury has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Canterbury VS Waitakere United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Canterbury

(Home)
27 Feb
Canterbury
5 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
14 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 0
Canterbury
06 Feb
Canterbury
2 : 1
Hawke s Bay
31 Jan
Hamilton
1 : 1
Canterbury
Page 1 of 6

Waitakere United

(Away)
27 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 2
Waitakere United
21 Feb
Waitakere United
2 : 0
Hawke s Bay
14 Feb
Hamilton
3 : 2
Waitakere United
06 Feb
Waitakere United
4 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
30 Jan
Team Wellington
3 : 4
Waitakere United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 14 8 4 2 27:13 28
2 Team Wellington 14 7 5 2 35:21 26
3 Hamilton 14 5 5 4 23:21 20
4 Eastern Suburbs 14 5 4 5 25:23 19
5 Waitakere United 14 4 6 4 28:26 18
6 Canterbury 14 5 3 6 21:24 18
7 Hawke s Bay 14 4 1 9 17:29 13
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 14 2 4 8 18:37 10
Promotion - Football Championship (Play Offs)