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Canterbury vs Wellington Phoenix 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Othman A.
90' Event
Tongue L.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2019/2020 game between Canterbury and Wellington Phoenix 2 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Canterbury
20%
Draws
29%
Wellington Phoenix 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Canterbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Canterbury haven't matched Wellington Phoenix 2's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Canterbury a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Canterbury Clean Sheet 16%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canterbury Wellington Phoenix 2
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.36 1.82
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2021 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Wellington Phoenix 2
5:1
Jan 9, 2021 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Canterbury
1:1
Mar 15, 2020 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Wellington Phoenix 2
1:1
Dec 14, 2019 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Canterbury
3:3
Jan 27, 2019 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Wellington Phoenix 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canterbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Tongue L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Wellington Phoenix 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Othman A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canterbury 84 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canterbury Wellington Phoenix 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canterbury Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Canterbury scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Wellington Phoenix 2 has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Canterbury went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Wellington Phoenix 2
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Canterbury

(Home)
27 Feb
Canterbury
5 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
14 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 0
Canterbury
06 Feb
Canterbury
2 : 1
Hawke s Bay
31 Jan
Hamilton
1 : 1
Canterbury
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Wellington Phoenix 2

(Away)
04 Oct
Cashmere Technical
10 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
26 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1
Auckland United
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7
Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
22 Nov
Auckland City
2 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 16 11 4 1 42:15 37
2 Team Wellington 16 10 4 2 36:15 34
3 Waitakere United 16 8 3 5 35:32 27
4 Eastern Suburbs 16 6 4 6 33:26 22
5 Tasman United 16 6 2 8 27:26 20
6 Hamilton 16 6 2 8 24:39 20
7 Southern United 16 5 4 7 25:38 19
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 16 4 6 6 30:32 18
9 Hawke s Bay 16 4 3 9 32:44 15
10 Canterbury 16 2 4 10 19:36 10
Promotion - Football Championship 2019/2020 (Play Offs)