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Canterbury vs Wellington Phoenix 2

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Matthysen L.
37' Event
Wilkinson E.
45' Event
Coughlan G.

AI Match Summary

Canterbury in this Football Championship matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Canterbury.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Canterbury
22%
Draws
18%
Wellington Phoenix 2
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Canterbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wellington Phoenix 2 lately — more wins on the board than Canterbury.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Canterbury taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Canterbury Clean Sheet 16%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canterbury Wellington Phoenix 2
Matches Played 28 44
Wins 6 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2021 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Wellington Phoenix 2
5:1
Jan 9, 2021 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Canterbury
1:1
Mar 15, 2020 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Wellington Phoenix 2
1:1
Dec 14, 2019 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Canterbury
3:3
Jan 27, 2019 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Wellington Phoenix 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canterbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Coughlan G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Matthysen L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Wellington Phoenix 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bidois R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canterbury 57 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canterbury Wellington Phoenix 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canterbury scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Wellington Phoenix 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 44 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Canterbury stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Wellington Phoenix 2
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Canterbury

(Home)
27 Feb
Canterbury
5 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
14 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 0
Canterbury
06 Feb
Canterbury
2 : 1
Hawke s Bay
31 Jan
Hamilton
1 : 1
Canterbury
Page 1 of 6

Wellington Phoenix 2

(Away)
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7
Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
22 Nov
Auckland City
2 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 0
Coastal Spirit
09 Nov
Western Springs
3 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City1484227:1328
2Team Wellington1475235:2126
3Hamilton1455423:2120
4Eastern Suburbs1454525:2319
5Waitakere United1446428:2618
6Canterbury1453621:2418
7Hawke s Bay1441917:2913
8Wellington Phoenix 21424818:3710
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