Sport Picks
Canvey Island vs Cray Valley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 
Match Events
4'
4'
Steward B.
9'
9'
Hambury Z.
21'
21'
Evans M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Canvey Island
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Cray Valley have won more games recently than Canvey Island.
- Model gives Canvey Island a 41% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Canvey Island Clean Sheet 10%
Cray Valley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Canvey Island | Cray Valley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 19 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Canvey Island vs Cray Valley
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cray Valley vs Canvey Island
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cray Valley vs Canvey Island
2:0
Oct 8, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Canvey Island vs Cray Valley
4:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Canvey Island Compare
Top Goalscorer Steward B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hambury Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Cray Valley Compare
Top Goalscorer Evans M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shomotun F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Canvey Island 47 / 100
Cray Valley 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Canvey Island Cray Valley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Canvey Island Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cray Valley let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Canvey Island found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Recent resilience: Canvey Island stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Canvey Island VS Cray Valley
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.83
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 67%
75% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Canvey Island
(Home) 26 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 3 Needham Market
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1 Chelmsford
12 Sept
Canvey Island
3 : 2 Cambridge City
08 Sept
Newmarket
0 : 1 Canvey Island
05 Sept
Canvey Island
1 : 1 Newmarket
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 3 Needham Market
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1 Chelmsford
12 Sept
Canvey Island
3 : 2 Cambridge City
05 Sept
Canvey Island
1 : 1 Newmarket
29 Aug
Canvey Island
4 : 1 Grays
Page 1 of 4
Cray Valley
(Away) 29 Aug
Erith Town
2 : 1 Cray Valley
28 Jul
Cray Valley
2 : 3 Ebbsfleet
25 Apr
Dartford
2 : 3 Cray Valley
18 Apr
Cray Valley
1 : 1 Folkestone
11 Apr
Hashtag
1 : 1 Cray Valley
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Erith Town
2 : 1 Cray Valley
25 Apr
Dartford
2 : 3 Cray Valley
11 Apr
Hashtag
1 : 1 Cray Valley
03 Apr
Ramsgate
0 : 1 Cray Valley
14 Mar
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 0 Cray Valley
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folkestone | 42 | 29 | 9 | 4 | 102:40 | 96 |
| 2 | Aveley | 42 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 90:51 | 84 |
| 3 | Billericay | 42 | 24 | 10 | 8 | 81:48 | 82 |
| 4 | Chatham | 42 | 24 | 7 | 11 | 83:35 | 79 |
| 5 | Brentwood | 42 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 84:66 | 78 |
| 6 | Dartford | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 81:55 | 72 |
| 7 | Cray Wanderers | 42 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 79:71 | 67 |
| 8 | Burgess Hill | 42 | 20 | 7 | 15 | 76:81 | 67 |
| 9 | Dulwich Hamlet | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 61:53 | 62 |
| 10 | Ramsgate | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 73:68 | 57 |
| 11 | St. Albans | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 71:59 | 56 |
| 12 | Chichester City | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 57:63 | 55 |
| 13 | Cheshunt | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 65:70 | 50 |
| 14 | Whitehawk | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 58:72 | 49 |
| 15 | Welling | 42 | 15 | 3 | 24 | 54:75 | 48 |
| 16 | Wingate & Finchley | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 55:67 | 46 |
| 17 | Lewes | 42 | 13 | 7 | 22 | 47:83 | 46 |
| 18 | Carshalton | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 61:73 | 44 |
| 19 | Cray Valley | 42 | 11 | 9 | 22 | 54:80 | 42 |
| 20 | Hashtag | 42 | 11 | 9 | 22 | 60:87 | 42 |
| 21 | Potters | 42 | 9 | 3 | 30 | 46:94 | 30 |
| 22 | Canvey Island | 42 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 40:87 | 27 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
