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Club Friendly

Ebbsfleet

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Canvey Island play Ebbsfleet in the Club Friendly. Ebbsfleet are favorites here. Recently, Canvey Island averaged 1.09 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Ebbsfleet averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Canvey Island won 0, Ebbsfleet won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 20, 2006 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Canvey Island and 2.38 for Ebbsfleet. This points to a Ebbsfleet double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%

Canvey Island

24%

Draws

57%

Ebbsfleet

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Ebbsfleet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

Canvey Island picked up more points recently compared to Ebbsfleet.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 2.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Canvey Island Clean Sheet 10%

Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Canvey Island	Ebbsfleet
Matches Played	32	32
Wins	5	17
Draws	8	7
Losses	19	8
Goals Scored	1.09	1.94
Goals Conceded	2.03	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2006 National League

Ebbsfleet vs Canvey Island

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Aug 20, 2005 National League

Canvey Island vs Ebbsfleet

Possession: 49% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Mar 19, 2005 National League

Ebbsfleet vs Canvey Island

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 2 - 4

3:2

Aug 17, 2004 National League

Canvey Island vs Ebbsfleet

Possession: 60% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canvey Island 19 / 100

Ebbsfleet 54 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Canvey Island Ebbsfleet

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebbsfleet Win (2)

Secondary Pick Ebbsfleet & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +72.7%

9.09

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Canvey Island attacking → ← attacking Ebbsfleet

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canvey Island scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Ebbsfleet let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Canvey Island went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ebbsfleet lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 58

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25