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Canvey Island vs Grays

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Clark L.
85' Event
Hubble C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Canvey Island
20%
Draws
29%
Grays
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Canvey Island

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Grays have won more games recently than Canvey Island.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Canvey Island taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 71%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Canvey Island Clean Sheet 15%
Grays Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canvey Island Grays
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 FA Trophy
Canvey Island vs Grays
4:1
Aug 1, 2023 Club Friendly
Canvey Island vs Grays
1:1
Mar 11, 2017 Isthmian League Premier Division
Canvey Island vs Grays
3:1
Dec 10, 2016 Isthmian League Premier Division
Grays vs Canvey Island
2:0
Sep 8, 2015 Isthmian League Premier Division
Canvey Island vs Grays
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canvey Island Compare

Top Goalscorer Hubble C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Grays Compare

Top Goalscorer Clark L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canvey Island 84 / 100
Grays 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canvey Island Grays

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canvey Island Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grays's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Canvey Island scored in 66% of their last 35 games.

Recent resilience: Canvey Island stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Canvey Island VS Grays
1.13 Goals Scored 0.33
2.75 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
75% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Canvey Island

(Home)
26 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 3
Needham Market
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1
Chelmsford
12 Sept
Canvey Island
3 : 2
Cambridge City
08 Sept
Newmarket
0 : 1
Canvey Island
05 Sept
Canvey Island
1 : 1
Newmarket
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Grays

(Away)
08 Sept
Leiston
5 : 0
Grays
05 Sept
Grays
0 : 0
Leiston
29 Aug
Canvey Island
4 : 1
Grays
04 Oct
Hanwell Town
2 : 1
Grays
20 Sept
Grays
2 : 0
Felixstowe & Walton
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