Sport Picks

Brazil

Alagoano U20 2024

Liga do Sertao U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CAP Paulo Jacinto U20 play Liga do Sertao U20 in the Alagoano U20 2024. Liga do Sertao U20 are favorites here. Recently, CAP Paulo Jacinto U20 averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. Liga do Sertao U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 2.93 conceded. In past meetings, CAP Paulo Jacinto U20 won 0, Liga do Sertao U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 6, 2024 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for CAP Paulo Jacinto U20 and 1.92 for Liga do Sertao U20. This points to a Liga do Sertao U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

CAP Paulo Jacinto U20

15%

Draws

69%

Liga do Sertao U20

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liga do Sertao U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

CAP Paulo Jacinto U20 picked up more points recently compared to Liga do Sertao U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.92 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29%

CAP Paulo Jacinto U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Liga do Sertao U20 Clean Sheet 20%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CAP Paulo Jacinto U20	Liga do Sertao U20
Matches Played	6	14
Wins	0	5
Draws	1	1
Losses	5	8
Goals Scored	0.5	1
Goals Conceded	2.33	2.93
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.33	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2024 Alagoano U20

CAP Paulo Jacinto U20 vs Liga do Sertao U20

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CAP Paulo Jacinto U20 16 / 100

Liga do Sertao U20 66 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CAP Paulo Jacinto U20 Liga do Sertao U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liga do Sertao U20 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Liga do Sertao U20 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +100%

12.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CAP Paulo Jacinto U20 attacking → ← attacking Liga do Sertao U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CAP Paulo Jacinto U20 scored in 33% of their last 6 games.

Liga do Sertao U20 let in goals in 71% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

CAP Paulo Jacinto U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Liga do Sertao U20 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

1 Points in last 5 16

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

2.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CSA U20	6	6	0	0	16:2	18
2	Guarani de Paripueira U20	6	4	0	2	20:11	12
3	Desportiva Alianca U20	6	4	0	2	14:7	12
4	Grota do Facao U20	6	4	0	2	12:5	12
5	Rio Largo U20	6	1	1	4	8:7	4
6	Ubertec U20	6	1	1	4	7:20	4
7	Satuba U20	6	0	0	6	3:28	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CRB U20	6	6	0	0	32:3	18
2	Coruripe U20	6	4	1	1	16:4	13
3	Guarany Alagoano U20	6	3	1	2	8:8	10
4	Sao Domingos U20	6	2	1	3	7:16	7
5	UNEC U20	6	2	1	3	8:19	7
6	Santa Cruz AL U20	6	1	0	5	6:12	3
7	Ponte Preta AL U20	6	0	2	4	1:16	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zumbi U20	4	3	1	0	17:0	10
2	Azzurra U20	4	3	1	0	13:2	10
3	Independente Atalaia U20	4	2	0	2	5:11	6
4	Murici U20	4	1	0	3	6:15	3
5	DZM Passo U20	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Lajense U20	4	0	0	4	3:16	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Liga do Sertao U20	6	4	1	1	11:4	13
2	SC Penedense U20	6	3	3	0	9:5	12
3	Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20	6	2	4	0	8:5	10
4	ASA U20	6	2	2	2	7:6	8
5	Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20	6	2	2	2	6:7	8
6	Dimensao Capela U20	6	1	1	4	3:6	4
7	CAP Paulo Jacinto U20	6	0	1	5	3:14	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jacioba U20	6	5	1	0	17:5	16
2	Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense U20	6	5	0	1	17:5	15
3	Canoense U20	6	3	1	2	6:8	10
4	Gaviao Izidorense U20	6	2	1	3	6:10	7
5	Flamengo do Ipiranga U20	6	2	0	4	9:14	6
6	Talisma U20	6	1	1	4	9:13	4
7	Sao Sebastiao U20	6	1	0	5	4:13	3