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Capaco vs Bukavu Dawa

DR Congo DR Congo

Super Ligue 2016/2017
Fri, Dec 30, 2016
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Capaco host Bukavu Dawa in the Super Ligue 2016/2017. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Capaco at 1.18 goals for, 0.55 against; Bukavu Dawa at 0.52 for, 1.27 against. Past meetings favor Capaco slightly — 0-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 30, 2016, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.29 xG vs 0.68) point toward Capaco. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Capaco
35%
Draws
22%
Bukavu Dawa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Capaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Capaco lately — more wins on the board than Bukavu Dawa.
  • Capaco are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Capaco Clean Sheet 20%
Bukavu Dawa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capaco Bukavu Dawa
Matches Played 11 33
Wins 5 4
Draws 5 13
Losses 1 16
Goals Scored 1.18 0.52
Goals Conceded 0.55 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 30, 2016 Ligue 1
Capaco vs Bukavu Dawa
0:0
Oct 23, 2016 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs Capaco
0:0
Sep 27, 2016 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs Capaco
0:0
Sep 9, 2016 Ligue 1
Capaco vs Bukavu Dawa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capaco 58 / 100
Bukavu Dawa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capaco Bukavu Dawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capaco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capaco's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Bukavu Dawa has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Capaco went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bukavu Dawa
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Capaco

(Home)
11 Feb
Capaco
2 : 1
Muungano
22 Jan
Nkoyi Bilombe
1 : 0
Capaco
27 Dec
El Dorado
0 : 0
Capaco
13 Dec
Capaco
1 : 0
Dauphins Noirs
06 Dec
Capaco
1 : 1
Socozaki
Page 1 of 3

Bukavu Dawa

(Away)
14 Apr
New Jack
1 : 1
Bukavu Dawa
09 Apr
Bukavu Dawa
0 : 0
AS Maniema
02 Apr
Aigles du Congo
1 : 1
Bukavu Dawa
21 Mar
FC Renaissance
3 : 0
Bukavu Dawa
18 Mar
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 1
FC MK Etancheite
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bukavu Dawa 10 5 5 0 12:7 20
2 Muungano 10 6 2 2 12:3 20
3 Dauphins Noirs 10 6 2 2 12:6 20
4 Virunga 10 2 4 4 7:13 10
5 Nkoyi Bilombe 10 2 1 7 9:14 7
6 Makiso 10 2 0 8 8:17 6
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Vita Club 18 13 4 1 37:9 43
2 Motema Pembe 18 12 5 1 37:9 41
3 OC Renaissance 18 9 5 4 30:14 32
4 RCK 18 9 2 7 28:24 29
5 AS Dragons 18 8 2 8 18:20 26
6 Shark XI 18 7 4 7 21:17 25
7 FC MK Etancheite 18 6 5 7 19:23 23
8 Veti 18 4 7 7 11:23 19
9 Rojolu 18 2 3 13 11:27 9
10 Ndombe 18 1 1 16 12:58 4
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 18 14 3 1 38:3 45
2 Sanga Balende 18 13 3 2 31:8 42
3 Don Bosco 18 11 4 3 27:13 37
4 St Eloi Lupopo 18 7 4 7 18:18 25
5 Lubumbashi Sport 18 5 6 7 13:19 21
6 Dibumba 18 5 5 8 14:25 20
7 Groupe Bazano 18 6 2 10 10:21 20
8 Ocean Pacifique 18 5 4 9 16:27 19
9 Simba 18 4 5 9 16:23 17
10 New Soger 18 1 2 15 8:34 5
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)