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Capaco vs Virunga

DR Congo DR Congo

Super Ligue 2016/2017
Sun, Sep 18, 2016
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Capaco host Virunga in the Super Ligue 2016/2017. Little to choose between these two on current form. Virunga have shipped 1.35 goals a game lately, while Capaco have conceded 0.55 and scored 1.18. Past meetings favor Capaco slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 23, 2016, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 0.86, favoring Capaco. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Capaco
20%
Draws
34%
Virunga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Capaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Capaco haven't matched Virunga's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Capaco's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Capaco Clean Sheet 20%
Virunga Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capaco Virunga
Matches Played 11 26
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 1 11
Goals Scored 1.18 0.92
Goals Conceded 0.55 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 23, 2016 Ligue 1
Virunga vs Capaco
0:0
Sep 18, 2016 Ligue 1
Capaco vs Virunga
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capaco 49 / 100
Virunga 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capaco Virunga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capaco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capaco found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (11 games).

Virunga let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Capaco went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Virunga has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Capaco VS Virunga
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Capaco

(Home)
11 Feb
Capaco
2 : 1
Muungano
22 Jan
Nkoyi Bilombe
1 : 0
Capaco
27 Dec
El Dorado
0 : 0
Capaco
13 Dec
Capaco
1 : 0
Dauphins Noirs
06 Dec
Capaco
1 : 1
Socozaki
Page 1 of 3

Virunga

(Away)
13 Sept
Bazar Brothers
0 : 1
Virunga
27 Feb
AS Maniema
4 : 1
Virunga
18 Feb
Dauphins Noirs
0 : 1
Virunga
14 Feb
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 0
Virunga
14 Feb
Virunga
1 : 2
Muungano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bukavu Dawa 10 5 5 0 12:7 20
2 Muungano 10 6 2 2 12:3 20
3 Dauphins Noirs 10 6 2 2 12:6 20
4 Virunga 10 2 4 4 7:13 10
5 Nkoyi Bilombe 10 2 1 7 9:14 7
6 Makiso 10 2 0 8 8:17 6
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Vita Club 18 13 4 1 37:9 43
2 Motema Pembe 18 12 5 1 37:9 41
3 OC Renaissance 18 9 5 4 30:14 32
4 RCK 18 9 2 7 28:24 29
5 AS Dragons 18 8 2 8 18:20 26
6 Shark XI 18 7 4 7 21:17 25
7 FC MK Etancheite 18 6 5 7 19:23 23
8 Veti 18 4 7 7 11:23 19
9 Rojolu 18 2 3 13 11:27 9
10 Ndombe 18 1 1 16 12:58 4
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 18 14 3 1 38:3 45
2 Sanga Balende 18 13 3 2 31:8 42
3 Don Bosco 18 11 4 3 27:13 37
4 St Eloi Lupopo 18 7 4 7 18:18 25
5 Lubumbashi Sport 18 5 6 7 13:19 21
6 Dibumba 18 5 5 8 14:25 20
7 Groupe Bazano 18 6 2 10 10:21 20
8 Ocean Pacifique 18 5 4 9 16:27 19
9 Simba 18 4 5 9 16:23 17
10 New Soger 18 1 2 15 8:34 5
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)