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Capalaba FC vs Redlands - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League John Frederick Park, Redlands
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Match Events

3' Event
Piunti R.
Own Goal
54' Event
In hee C.
67' Event
Phillips K.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between Capalaba FC and Redlands finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Capalaba FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Capalaba FC
35%
Draws
39%
Redlands
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Redlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Redlands carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Capalaba FC Clean Sheet 10%
Redlands Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capalaba FC Redlands
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Capalaba FC
1:1
Apr 10, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Redlands
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Capalaba FC
0:1
Jun 10, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Redlands
1:1
Oct 24, 2021 NPL Queensland
Capalaba FC vs Redlands
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capalaba FC Compare

Top Goalscorer In hee C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Phillips K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Redlands Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capalaba FC 30 / 100
Redlands 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capalaba FC Redlands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redlands Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redlands let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Capalaba FC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Capalaba FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Capalaba FC VS Redlands
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Capalaba FC

(Home)
15 Aug
Capalaba FC
1 : 2
Robina City
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0
Capalaba FC
31 Jul
North Star
1 : 0
Capalaba FC
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0
Holland Park Hawks
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1
Capalaba FC
Page 1 of 6

Redlands

(Away)
15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0
Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Brisbane Strikers
3 : 0
Redlands
01 Aug
Redlands
2 : 2
Caboolture
19 Jul
Robina City
1 : 1
Redlands
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1
Capalaba FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
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