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Capalaba FC vs Souths - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2019 John Frederick Park, Redlands
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AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League 2019 game between Capalaba FC and Souths finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Capalaba FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Capalaba FC
15%
Draws
0%
Souths
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capalaba FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Souths carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Capalaba FC's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Capalaba FC Clean Sheet 13%
Souths Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capalaba FC Souths
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 3 2
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 1.07 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.57 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2019 Queensland Premier League
Souths vs Capalaba FC
2:1
Apr 27, 2019 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Souths
4:0
Aug 12, 2017 Brisbane Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Souths
3:2
Apr 29, 2017 Brisbane Premier League
Souths vs Capalaba FC
7:1
Sep 1, 2012 Brisbane Premier League
Souths vs Capalaba FC
1:9

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capalaba FC 40 / 100
Souths 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capalaba FC Souths

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Souths has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Souths's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Capalaba FC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Capalaba FC VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Capalaba FC

(Home)
15 Aug
Capalaba FC
1 : 2
Robina City
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0
Capalaba FC
31 Jul
North Star
1 : 0
Capalaba FC
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0
Holland Park Hawks
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1
Capalaba FC
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Souths

(Away)
25 Sept
Souths
1 : 2
Southside Eagles
19 Sept
Sunshine Coast
2 : 1
Souths
11 Sept
Souths
3 : 4
Western Pride
07 Sept
Ipswich Knights
3 : 1
Souths
04 Sept
Souths
1 : 2
Mitchelton
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 18 13 2 3 52:23 41
2 Capalaba FC 18 12 2 4 48:26 38
3 Logan Lightning 18 12 1 5 52:26 37
4 Rochedale 18 9 3 6 49:37 30
5 Mitchelton 18 9 3 6 44:32 30
6 Ipswich Knights 18 8 4 6 35:31 28
7 Wynnum Wolves 18 5 4 9 32:44 19
8 Souths 18 4 1 13 29:59 13
9 Southside Eagles 18 3 3 12 22:46 12
10 Holland Park Hawks 18 3 1 14 31:70 10
Promotion - Queensland Premier League 2019 (Play Offs)