Sport Picks
Capalaba FC vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Australia
Queensland Premier League John Frederick Park, Redlands 
Match Events
45'
45'
Nezval M.
63'
63'
Salmon C.
71'
71'
Kerry O.
AI Match Summary
The Queensland Premier League game between Capalaba FC and Sunshine Coast Wanderers finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sunshine Coast Wanderers.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sunshine Coast Wanderers come out ahead of Capalaba FC on wins alone.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Sunshine Coast Wanderers taking it.
- Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Capalaba FC Clean Sheet 10%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Capalaba FC | Sunshine Coast Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 21 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.57 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0:5
Mar 14, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Capalaba FC
1:1
Jun 19, 2022 NPL Queensland
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Capalaba FC
2:1
Apr 16, 2022 NPL Queensland
Capalaba FC vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1:1
Jun 27, 2021 NPL Queensland
Capalaba FC vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Capalaba FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Compare
Top Goalscorer Nezval M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Salmon C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Capalaba FC 10 / 100
Sunshine Coast Wanderers 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Capalaba FC Sunshine Coast Wanderers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sunshine Coast Wanderers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sunshine Coast Wanderers conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Capalaba FC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Capalaba FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Capalaba FC VS Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Capalaba FC
(Home) 15 Aug
Capalaba FC
1 : 2 Robina City
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0 Capalaba FC
31 Jul
North Star
1 : 0 Capalaba FC
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0 Holland Park Hawks
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1 Capalaba FC
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Capalaba FC
1 : 2 Robina City
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0 Holland Park Hawks
04 Jul
Capalaba FC
0 : 2 St. George Willawong
20 Jun
Capalaba FC
0 : 5 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
10 May
Capalaba FC
2 : 4 Ipswich
Page 1 of 3
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
(Away) 05 Sept
Broadbeach Utd.
2 : 0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
30 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0 Ipswich
15 Aug
St. George Willawong
1 : 6 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
09 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2 : 1 Broadbeach Utd.
01 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0 Ipswich
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Broadbeach Utd.
2 : 0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
15 Aug
St. George Willawong
1 : 6 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
18 Jul
Logan Lightning
2 : 2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
03 Jul
Caboolture
1 : 2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
20 Jun
Capalaba FC
0 : 5 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brisbane Strikers | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 52:18 | 54 |
| 2 | Broadbeach Utd. | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 51:20 | 52 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 46:28 | 37 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 5 | Robina City | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 36:29 | 32 |
| 6 | Caboolture | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 45:38 | 31 |
| 7 | Redlands | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 40:38 | 30 |
| 8 | Holland Park Hawks | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 40:48 | 30 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 39:41 | 27 |
| 10 | North Star | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22:41 | 21 |
| 11 | St. George Willawong | 22 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 13:52 | 13 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 22 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 21:57 | 11 |
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)
