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Cape Verde vs Rwanda Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Estádio Nacional de Cabo Verde, Praia
Cape Verde Logo

Cape Verde

1 - 2
FT
Rwanda Logo

Rwanda

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Mugisha B.
37'
Lenini K.
40' Event
Benchimol
Assist: Mendes R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Cape Verde
20%
Draws
69%
Rwanda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rwanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Cape Verde's 1.33 goals per match outpaces what Rwanda have produced (1.07).
  • Win probability leans Rwanda's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Rwanda, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Cape Verde Clean Sheet 20%
Rwanda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cape Verde Rwanda
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Cape Verde vs Rwanda
1:2
Nov 17, 2020 Africa Cup of Nations
Rwanda vs Cape Verde
0:0
Nov 12, 2020 Africa Cup of Nations
Cape Verde vs Rwanda
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cape Verde Compare

Top Goalscorer Benchimol
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rwanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Niyomugabo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tatou E. I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cape Verde 10 / 100
Rwanda 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cape Verde Rwanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rwanda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cape Verde's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Rwanda has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Cape Verde has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cape Verde VS Rwanda
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cape Verde

(Home)
29 Sept
Cape Verde
1 : 2
Rwanda
25 Sept
Mali
3 : 1
Cape Verde
03 Jul
Argentina
3 : 2
Cape Verde
27 Jun
Cape Verde
0 : 0
Saudi Arabia
21 Jun
Uruguay
2 : 2
Cape Verde
Page 1 of 6

Rwanda

(Away)
29 Sept
Cape Verde
1 : 2
Rwanda
25 Sept
Rwanda
3 : 1
Liberia
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0
Estonia
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0
Grenada
14 Oct
South Africa
3 : 0
Rwanda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Malawi 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Angola 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)