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Cape Verde W vs Mali W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women
Cape Verde W Logo

Cape Verde W

0 - 1
FT
Mali W Logo

Mali W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Cape Verde W
35%
Draws
46%
Mali W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Cape Verde W haven't matched Mali W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mali W a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Mali W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mali W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mali W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cape Verde W Clean Sheet 13%
Mali W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cape Verde W Mali W
Matches Played 17 36
Wins 4 15
Draws 3 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.24 2.14
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mali W vs Cape Verde W
3:2
Oct 28, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mali W vs Cape Verde W
2:4
Oct 24, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Cape Verde W vs Mali W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cape Verde W 10 / 100
Mali W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cape Verde W Mali W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Mali W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

Cape Verde W scored in 53% of their last 17 games.

Cape Verde W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cape Verde W VS Mali W
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cape Verde W

(Home)
06 Aug
Cape Verde W
1 : 1
Cameroon W
02 Aug
Mali W
3 : 2
Cape Verde W
29 Jul
Ghana W
2 : 0
Cape Verde W
21 Jul
Morocco W
5 : 0
Cape Verde W
08 Jun
Ivory Coast W
0 : 0
Cape Verde W
Page 1 of 4

Mali W

(Away)
06 Aug
Mali W
1 : 1
Ghana W
02 Aug
Mali W
3 : 2
Cape Verde W
29 Jul
Cameroon W
2 : 1
Mali W
20 Jul
Mali W
0 : 1
Ivory Coast W
07 Jun
Burkina Faso W
2 : 2
Mali W
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola W 4
Zimbabwe W 3
Malawi W -
Congo W -
Botswana W 0
D.R. Congo W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Tanzania W 4
Equatorial Guinea W 2
Uganda W 2
Ethiopia W 3
Eswatini W 0
Namibia W 4
TBD -
Zambia W -
Burundi W 1
Burkina Faso W 5
Djibouti W 0
Togo W 10
South Sudan W 0
Algeria W 8
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Rwanda W 2
Egypt W 3
TBD -
Ghana W -
Kenya W 1
Tunisia W 0
Niger W 1
Gambia W 4
Benin W 5
Sierra Leone W 2
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W 3
Cape Verde W 6
Gabon W 1
Mali W 10
Chad W -
Senegal W -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Angola W 0
Malawi W 2
D.R. Congo W 1
South Africa W 2
Tanzania W 3
Ethiopia W 0
Namibia W 2
Zambia W 7
Burkina Faso W 3
Togo W 0
Algeria W 3
Cameroon W 1
Egypt W 0
Ghana W 7
Kenya W 4
Gambia W 1
Benin W 1
Nigeria W 3
Cape Verde W 4
Mali W 3
Senegal W 1
Ivory Coast W 0
TBD -
TBD -