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Capelle vs AFC

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2020/2021
Wed, Dec 2, 2020
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the KNVB Beker 2020/2021. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. AFC have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while Capelle have conceded 1.72 and scored 1.83. Past meetings favor Capelle slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 2, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.63 - 1.63) back Capelle to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Capelle
20%
Draws
40%
AFC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Capelle come out ahead of AFC on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Capelle have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Capelle Clean Sheet 14%
AFC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capelle AFC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2020 KNVB Beker
Capelle vs AFC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capelle 30 / 100
AFC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capelle AFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Capelle scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

AFC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Capelle has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Capelle VS AFC
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Capelle

(Home)
11 Aug
Capelle
2 : 2
Rijnsburgse Boys
28 Oct
Capelle
1 : 5
Roda
23 Sept
Capelle
5 : 1
SVV Scheveningen
02 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Capelle
29 Oct
Sparta Nijkerk
5 : 1
Capelle
Page 1 of 6

AFC

(Away)
23 May
AFC
2 : 3
Hardenberg
16 May
GVVV
1 : 1
AFC
09 May
AFC
3 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
25 Apr
RKAV Volendam
0 : 3
AFC
18 Apr
AFC
1 : 5
HSV Hoek
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
FC Emmen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
TEC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
Heerenveen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
De Treffers -
TBD -
Barendrecht 5
RKVV Erp 0
Achilles Veen 5
NWC 0
ACV Assen 0
Gemert 2
VV Noordwijk -
TBD -
Sliedrecht 3
VVSB 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IJsselmeervogels -
RKSV Cluzona 0
Sparta Nijkerk 4
TBD -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
Excelsior Maassluis -
TBD -
Ter Leede 6
Hoogezand 2
Heracles -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
DWOW 2
Buitenpost 5
Capelle 4
Hoogland 0
Spakenburg -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC -
Kozakken Boys -
TBD -
VVOG 0
DEM 2
Harkemase Boys 6
USV Hercules 0
HVV Hollandia 0
Flevo Boys 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
GOES 1
Sportlust 0
AWC 3
ODIN '59 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
DTS Ede 4
RKVV Best Vooruit 0
Jong AFC 1
GVV Unitas 2
Quick Boys -
TBD -
Roda 46 (Zat) 2
ADO 20 Heemskerk 1
HSV Hoek 1
OFC Oostzaan 3
DOS Kampen 1
EVV 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maastricht -
Koninklijke HFC -
TBD -
FC OSS '20 5
Ajax (Am) 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Katwijk -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
Staphorst 2
HSC '21 0
TBD -
ASWH -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
VV Hoogeveen 2
VV DOVO 3
DVS '33 Ermelo 3
Dongen 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Willem II -
Hardenberg -
TBD -
TBD -
GVVV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Den Haag -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
Westlandia 4
Venray 1
TBD -
TBD -
Lisse 3
Blauw Geel 0
SteDoCo 10
Den Hoorn 0
SVC 08 1
HV & CV Quick 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Rijnvogels 2
Watergraafsmeer 1
DUNO 1
UNA 3
Excelsior 31 3
Susteren 0
VV Scherpenzeel 2
Groene Ster 3
TBD -
SVV Scheveningen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
G.A. Eagles -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
NAC Breda -
1/64-finals
FC Emmen -
TBD -
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
TEC -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
Heerenveen -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
De Treffers 1
Barendrecht 2
Achilles Veen 2
Gemert 0
VV Noordwijk 2
Sliedrecht 3
TBD -
IJsselmeervogels -
Sparta Nijkerk 2
Rijnsburgse Boys 3
Excelsior Maassluis 4
Ter Leede 1
Heracles -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
Buitenpost 1
Capelle 2
Spakenburg 0
AFC 1
Kozakken Boys 1
DEM 0
Harkemase Boys 5
Flevo Boys 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
GOES 1
ODIN '59 2
TBD -
FC Volendam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
DTS Ede 3
GVV Unitas 1
Quick Boys 5
Roda 46 (Zat) 0
OFC Oostzaan 7
DOS Kampen 1
TBD -
Maastricht -
Koninklijke HFC 0
FC OSS '20 1
TBD -
Katwijk -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
Staphorst 5
ASWH 2
TBD -
Zwolle -
VV DOVO 0
DVS '33 Ermelo 1
TBD -
Willem II -
Hardenberg 3
GVVV 2
TBD -
Vitesse -
Den Haag -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
Westlandia -
TBD -
Lisse 0
SteDoCo 3
HV & CV Quick -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Rijnvogels 2
UNA 4
Excelsior 31 2
Groene Ster 3
SVV Scheveningen -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
G.A. Eagles -
TBD -
TBD -
NAC Breda -
1/32-finals
FC Emmen 2
Eindhoven FC 0
TEC -
Groningen -
Heerenveen 3
TOP Oss 1
Barendrecht -
Achilles Veen -
Sliedrecht -
IJsselmeervogels -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
Excelsior Maassluis -
Heracles 3
Telstar 0
Capelle -
AFC -
Kozakken Boys -
Harkemase Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
TBD -
Dordrecht 2
Utrecht 4
ODIN '59 -
FC Volendam -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente 1
De Graafschap 3
DTS Ede -
Quick Boys -
OFC Oostzaan -
Maastricht -
FC OSS '20 -
Katwijk -
Excelsior 4
Helmond Sport 0
Staphorst -
Zwolle -
DVS '33 Ermelo -
Willem II -
Hardenberg -
Vitesse -
Den Haag 2
Sparta Rotterdam 1
Westlandia -
SteDoCo -
HV & CV Quick -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
Roda 0
Sittard 2
UNA -
Groene Ster -
SVV Scheveningen -
Almere City -
Venlo 4
Den Bosch 2
Waalwijk 2
Cambuur 3
G.A. Eagles 6
NAC Breda 0
1/16-finals
FC Emmen 2
Groningen 1
Heerenveen -
TBD -
Feyenoord -
TBD -
Heracles -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
TBD -
Ajax 5
Utrecht 4
FC Volendam -
TBD -
De Graafschap 1
PSV 2
Maastricht -
TBD -
Excelsior 2
Zwolle 0
Willem II 0
Vitesse 2
Den Haag -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
Sittard -
TBD -
Almere City 1
Venlo 4
Cambuur 1
G.A. Eagles 2
1/8-finals
FC Emmen 1
Heerenveen 2
Feyenoord 3
Heracles 2
AZ Alkmaar 0
Ajax 1
FC Volendam 0
PSV 2
Maastricht 2
Excelsior 3
Vitesse 2
Den Haag 1
Nijmegen 3
Sittard 2
Venlo 1
G.A. Eagles 0
Quarter-finals
Heerenveen 4
Feyenoord 3
Ajax 2
PSV 1
Excelsior 0
Vitesse 1
Nijmegen 1
Venlo 2
Semi-finals
Heerenveen 0
Ajax 3
Vitesse 2
Venlo 0
Final
Ajax 2
Vitesse 1