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Capital FC U20 vs Uniao Carmolandense U20

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Uniao Carmolandense U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Capital FC U20
6%
Draws
90%
Uniao Carmolandense U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Uniao Carmolandense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Uniao Carmolandense U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Uniao Carmolandense U20 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Uniao Carmolandense U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Uniao Carmolandense U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Capital FC U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Uniao Carmolandense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capital FC U20 Uniao Carmolandense U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 19
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 2 2
Goals Conceded 4.2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.20 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2024 Tocantinense U20
Capital FC U20 vs Uniao Carmolandense U20
1:2
Jun 16, 2024 Tocantinense U20
Uniao Carmolandense U20 vs Capital FC U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital FC U20 10 / 100
Uniao Carmolandense U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capital FC U20 Uniao Carmolandense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Capital FC U20 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Uniao Carmolandense U20 has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Capital FC U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capital FC U20 VS Uniao Carmolandense U20
2 Goals Scored 2
4.2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
80% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Capital FC U20

(Home)
28 Jun
Tocantinopolis U20
8 : 1
Capital FC U20
21 Jun
Capital FC U20
1 : 3
Tocantinopolis U20
15 Jun
Tocantinopolis U20
1 : 2
Capital FC U20
08 Jun
Capital FC U20
1 : 6
Tocantinopolis U20
01 Jun
Araguaia (TO) U20
3 : 5
Capital FC U20
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Uniao Carmolandense U20

(Away)
04 Jul
Uniao Carmolandense U20
2 : 1
Batalhao U20
27 Jun
Batalhao U20
2 : 0
Uniao Carmolandense U20
20 Jun
Uniao Carmolandense U20
1 : 0
Araguaia (TO) U20
13 Jun
Araguaia (TO) U20
1 : 1
Uniao Carmolandense U20
06 Jun
Bela Vista U20
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense U20
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Uniao EC U201
Tocantinopolis U2010
Tocantins U200
Uniao Carmolandense U208
SD Sparta U203
Batalhao U202
Araguaina U201
Capital FC U203
Interporto U207
Guarai SC U202
Gurupi U203
Araguacema U204
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Tocantinopolis U201
Uniao Carmolandense U205
SD Sparta U202
Capital FC U204
Interporto U205
Araguacema U204
TBD-
Araguacema U20-
Semi-finals
Uniao Carmolandense U205
Capital FC U202
Interporto U202
Araguacema U204
Final
Uniao Carmolandense U202
Araguacema U200