Sport Picks

Brazil

Tocantinense

Capital FC

1 - 1

Palmas

Our Tip

Match Events

49'

Alves F.

55'

Borges F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tocantinense game between Capital FC and Palmas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Capital FC

28%

Draws

22%

Palmas

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Capital FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Palmas's 1.88 goals per match outpaces what Capital FC have produced (1.38).
Win probability leans Capital FC's way, sitting at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Capital FC Clean Sheet 14%

Palmas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Capital FC	Palmas
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	10	10
Draws	8	6
Losses	16	14
Goals Scored	1.38	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tocantinense

Capital FC vs Palmas

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Feb 4, 2023 Tocantinense

Capital FC vs Palmas

Possession: 60% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

3:0

Mar 12, 2022 Tocantinense

Palmas vs Capital FC

Possession: 46% - 48% Cards: 0 - 1

1:1

Dec 12, 2021 Tocantinense

Palmas vs Capital FC

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Mar 1, 2020 Tocantinense

Palmas vs Capital FC

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capital FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Borges F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Palmas Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital FC 48 / 100

Palmas 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Capital FC Palmas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capital FC scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Palmas let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Capital FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capital FC VS Palmas

1.38 Goals Scored 1.88

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tocantinopolis	7	6	1	0	10:1	19
2	Uniao Carmolandense	7	4	1	2	12:5	13
3	Gurupi	7	4	1	2	10:6	13
4	Capital FC	7	2	3	2	10:9	9
5	Araguaina	7	2	2	3	7:7	8
6	Bela Vista-TO	7	2	2	3	8:14	8
7	Palmas	7	1	2	4	4:10	5
8	Guarai SC	7	0	2	5	3:12	2