Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Vanilson
10'
10'
Rodriguinho
71'
71'
Cesinha
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
35%
18%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Capital
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Aparecidense haven't matched Capital's recent run of results.
- Capital are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Capital have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Aparecidense, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Capital Clean Sheet 68%
Aparecidense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Capital | Aparecidense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2026 Serie D
Capital vs Aparecidense
4:0
Jun 20, 2026 Serie D
Aparecidense vs Capital
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Serie D
Aparecidense vs Capital
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 Serie D
Capital vs Aparecidense
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Capital Compare
Top Goalscorer Vanilson
1 Goals Assists Leader Rodriguinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Aparecidense Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Capital 95 / 100
Aparecidense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Capital Aparecidense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Capital Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aparecidense let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Capital scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Capital remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Capital VS Aparecidense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Capital
(Home) 12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0 Capital
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0 Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1 Capital
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0 Uniao Rondonopolis
Page 1 of 7
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0 Aparecidense
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0 Uniao Rondonopolis
16 May
Capital
2 : 1 Ceilandia
09 May
Capital
1 : 0 Mixto
Page 1 of 3
Aparecidense
(Away) 27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0 Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1 Capital
07 Jun
Gama
2 : 2 Aparecidense
30 May
Aparecidense
1 : 1 Primavera AC
24 May
Luverdense
1 : 0 Aparecidense
Page 1 of 6
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0 Aparecidense
07 Jun
Gama
2 : 2 Aparecidense
24 May
Luverdense
1 : 0 Aparecidense
17 May
Inhumas
1 : 1 Aparecidense
03 May
Brasiliense
1 : 1 Aparecidense
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3
