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Capital vs Operario MS

Brazil Brazil

Copa Centro-Oeste Estadio Juscelino Kubitschek (JK), Paranoá
Capital Logo

Capital

2 - 2
FT
Operario MS Logo

Operario MS

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Danilo
45' Event
Deysinho
90' Event
Cesinha
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Capital
20%
Draws
34%
Operario MS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Capital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Operario MS haven't matched Capital's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Capital taking it.
  • Capital have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Capital Clean Sheet 68%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capital Operario MS
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 10 10
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Copa Centro-Oeste
Capital vs Operario MS
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capital Compare

Top Goalscorer Deysinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cesinha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Operario MS Compare

Top Goalscorer Danilo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andre d. S. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital 95 / 100
Operario MS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capital Operario MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capital Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Capital's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Operario MS let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Capital went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capital VS Operario MS
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Capital

(Home)
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0
Capital
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0
Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Capital
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
Page 1 of 6

Operario MS

(Away)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 5 2 2 1 10:4 8
2 Rio Branco ES 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
3 Operario MS 5 2 2 1 8:10 8
4 Araguaina 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
5 Capital 5 1 3 1 6:7 6
6 Primavera AC 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 5 5 0 0 8:3 15
2 Anapolis 5 3 0 2 9:3 9
3 Atletico GO 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
4 Porto Vitoria 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
5 Tocantinopolis 5 0 3 2 2:5 3
6 Cuiaba 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)