Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Capitao Poco vs Aguia De Maraba

Brazil Brazil

Paraense Estádio Municipal José Rufino de Souza
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Capitao Poco play Aguia De Maraba in the Paraense. It looks like a close match. Recently, Capitao Poco averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1 conceded. Aguia De Maraba averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Capitao Poco won 0, Aguia De Maraba won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 12, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Capitao Poco and 1.61 for Aguia De Maraba. This points to a Aguia De Maraba double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Capitao Poco
19%
Draws
42%
Aguia De Maraba
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Aguia De Maraba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Capitao Poco picked up more points recently compared to Aguia De Maraba.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.61 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Capitao Poco Clean Sheet 14%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capitao Poco Aguia De Maraba
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 13 20
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.57
Goals Conceded 1 1.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Paraense
Capitao Poco vs Aguia De Maraba
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capitao Poco Compare

Top Goalscorer Baldez Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Aguia De Maraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Dede
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capitao Poco 38 / 100
Aguia De Maraba 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capitao Poco Aguia De Maraba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aguia De Maraba or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Capitao Poco attacking → ← attacking Aguia De Maraba

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capitao Poco scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Aguia De Maraba let in goals in 70% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Capitao Poco went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Aguia De Maraba lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 65
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cameta63218:411
2Capitao Poco63129:610
3Paysandu PA63126:410
4Aguia De Maraba63128:710
5Remo62409:510
6Tuna Luso63033:59
7Castanhal62224:58
8Santa Rosa62134:77
9Sao Raimundo PA61326:86
10Amazonia IFC61327:116
11Bragantino PA61236:75
12Sao Francisco61234:55