Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Capitao Poco vs Aguia De Maraba

Brazil Brazil

Paraense Estádio Municipal José Rufino de Souza, Cap. Poco
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Dede
53' Event
Baldez Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paraense matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Capitao Poco
15%
Draws
28%
Aguia De Maraba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capitao Poco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Aguia De Maraba have won more games recently than Capitao Poco.
  • Win probability leans Capitao Poco's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Capitao Poco Clean Sheet 68%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capitao Poco Aguia De Maraba
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Paraense
Capitao Poco vs Aguia De Maraba
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capitao Poco Compare

Top Goalscorer Baldez Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Aguia De Maraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Dede
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capitao Poco 77 / 100
Aguia De Maraba 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capitao Poco Aguia De Maraba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capitao Poco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capitao Poco scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Aguia De Maraba has conceded goals in 74% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Capitao Poco stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aguia De Maraba
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Capitao Poco

(Home)
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1
Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Cameta
1 : 2
Capitao Poco
22 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 1
Tuna Luso
19 Feb
Capitao Poco
0 : 1
Castanhal
15 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 0
Castanhal
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Aguia De Maraba

(Away)
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1
ABC
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0
Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1
Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameta 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Capitao Poco 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Paysandu PA 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
4 Aguia De Maraba 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
5 Remo 6 2 4 0 9:5 10
6 Tuna Luso 6 3 0 3 3:5 9
7 Castanhal 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
8 Santa Rosa 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
9 Sao Raimundo PA 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
10 Amazonia IFC 6 1 3 2 7:11 6
11 Bragantino PA 6 1 2 3 6:7 5
12 Sao Francisco 6 1 2 3 4:5 5
Promotion - Paraense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 2027 (Main)