Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Wanderson
45'
45'
Wanderson
64'
64'
Natan
AI Match Summary
The Paraense 2025 game between Capitao Poco and Sao Francisco finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Capitao Poco.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
69%
20%
11%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Capitao Poco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Sao Francisco haven't matched Capitao Poco's recent run of results.
- Model gives Capitao Poco a 69% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Capitao Poco Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Francisco Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Capitao Poco | Sao Francisco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 27, 2026 Paraense
Sao Francisco vs Capitao Poco
3:1
Feb 16, 2025 Paraense
Capitao Poco vs Sao Francisco
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Capitao Poco Compare
Top Goalscorer Natan
1 Goals Assists Leader Klener S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Sao Francisco Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Capitao Poco 67 / 100
Sao Francisco 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Capitao Poco Sao Francisco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Capitao Poco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Capitao Poco scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Sao Francisco has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Capitao Poco remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Capitao Poco VS Sao Francisco
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Capitao Poco
(Home) 07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1 Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Cameta
1 : 2 Capitao Poco
22 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 1 Tuna Luso
19 Feb
Capitao Poco
0 : 1 Castanhal
15 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 0 Castanhal
Page 1 of 6
22 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 1 Tuna Luso
19 Feb
Capitao Poco
0 : 1 Castanhal
15 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 0 Castanhal
12 Feb
Capitao Poco
1 : 1 Aguia De Maraba
05 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 1 Bragantino PA
Page 1 of 3
Sao Francisco
(Away) 15 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
0 : 0 Sao Francisco
11 Feb
Tuna Luso
1 : 0 Sao Francisco
08 Feb
Sao Francisco
1 : 2 Cameta
04 Feb
Santa Rosa
1 : 0 Sao Francisco
31 Jan
Sao Francisco
0 : 0 Remo
Page 1 of 7
15 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
0 : 0 Sao Francisco
11 Feb
Tuna Luso
1 : 0 Sao Francisco
04 Feb
Santa Rosa
1 : 0 Sao Francisco
02 Mar
Santa Rosa
1 : 0 Sao Francisco
16 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 0 Sao Francisco
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 6 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 11 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
| 12 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 3 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 2 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 3 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 4 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
