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Capitao Poco vs Tuna Luso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Grao Para Estádio Municipal José Rufino de Souza, Cap. Poco
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Maia A.
45' Event
Raylson
81' Event
Taperacu V.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Capitao Poco
20%
Draws
24%
Tuna Luso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Capitao Poco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Capitao Poco lately — more wins on the board than Tuna Luso.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Capitao Poco taking it.
  • Capitao Poco have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Capitao Poco, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Capitao Poco Clean Sheet 20%
Tuna Luso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capitao Poco Tuna Luso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.33
Goals Conceded 1 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.64 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Copa Grao Para
Capitao Poco vs Tuna Luso
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capitao Poco Compare

Top Goalscorer Raylson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taperacu V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.26
Avg xA / game 0.82

Tuna Luso Compare

Top Goalscorer Maia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capitao Poco 85 / 100
Tuna Luso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capitao Poco Tuna Luso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capitao Poco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capitao Poco's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tuna Luso conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Capitao Poco remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Capitao Poco VS Tuna Luso
1.4 Goals Scored 1.5
0.6 Goals Conceded 1.88
60% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Capitao Poco

(Home)
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1
Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Cameta
1 : 2
Capitao Poco
22 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 1
Tuna Luso
19 Feb
Capitao Poco
0 : 1
Castanhal
15 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 0
Castanhal
Page 1 of 6

Tuna Luso

(Away)
27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1
Tuna Luso
21 Jun
Tuna Luso
1 : 2
Iguatu
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0
Tuna Luso
31 May
Tuna Luso
1 : 0
Trem
24 May
Oratorio
3 : 3
Tuna Luso
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Castanhal -
TBD -
Aguia De Maraba 1
Santa Rosa 0
Cameta -
TBD -
Capitao Poco 2
Tuna Luso 1
Semi-finals
Castanhal 1
Aguia De Maraba 0
Cameta 1
Capitao Poco 2
Final
Castanhal 0
Capitao Poco 1