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Capitao Poco vs Tuna Luso

Brazil Brazil

Copa Grao Para Estádio Municipal José Rufino de Souza
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Maia A.
45' Event
Raylson
81' Event
Taperacu V.

AI Match Summary

Capitao Poco in this Copa Grao Para matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Capitao Poco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Capitao Poco
6%
Draws
4%
Tuna Luso
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Capitao Poco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tuna Luso lately — more wins on the board than Capitao Poco.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Capitao Poco taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Capitao Poco Clean Sheet 20%
Tuna Luso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capitao Poco Tuna Luso
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Copa Grao Para
Capitao Poco vs Tuna Luso
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capitao Poco Compare

Top Goalscorer Raylson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taperacu V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tuna Luso Compare

Top Goalscorer Maia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capitao Poco 85 / 100
Tuna Luso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capitao Poco Tuna Luso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capitao Poco found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Tuna Luso let in goals in 73% of their last 37 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Capitao Poco remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Capitao Poco VS Tuna Luso
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Castanhal-
TBD-
Aguia De Maraba1
Santa Rosa0
Cameta-
TBD-
Capitao Poco2
Tuna Luso1
Semi-finals
Castanhal1
Aguia De Maraba0
Cameta1
Capitao Poco2
Final
Castanhal0
Capitao Poco1