Sport Picks
Capivariano vs Primavera EC
Brazil
Paulista Arena Capivari, Capivari 
Match Events
6'
6'
Lucas Douglas
17'
17'
Welliton
35'
35'
Welliton
AI Match Summary
Primavera EC in this Paulista matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Primavera EC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Primavera EC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Primavera EC haven't matched Capivariano's recent run of results.
- Model gives Primavera EC a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Capivariano Clean Sheet 12%
Primavera EC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Capivariano | Primavera EC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.99 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Paulista
Capivariano vs Primavera EC
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Paulista A2
Primavera EC vs Capivariano
1:2
Apr 2, 2025 Paulista A2
Capivariano vs Primavera EC
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Paulista A2
Capivariano vs Primavera EC
1:0
Aug 3, 2024 Copa Paulista
Capivariano vs Primavera EC
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Capivariano Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodolfo
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.76
Avg xA / game 0.49
Primavera EC Compare
Top Goalscorer Welliton
1 Goals Assists Leader Afonso
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Capivariano 10 / 100
Primavera EC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Capivariano Primavera EC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Primavera EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Capivariano scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Primavera EC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Capivariano remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Capivariano VS Primavera EC
0.6 Goals Scored 1.63
1.8 Goals Conceded 1.38
60% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 75%
20% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Capivariano
(Home) 21 Feb
Palmeiras
4 : 0 Capivariano
15 Feb
Botafogo SP
0 : 1 Capivariano
08 Feb
Capivariano
1 : 0 Mirassol
05 Feb
Corinthians
3 : 0 Capivariano
25 Jan
Capivariano
1 : 2 Primavera EC
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08 Feb
Capivariano
1 : 0 Mirassol
25 Jan
Capivariano
1 : 2 Primavera EC
17 Jan
Capivariano
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
14 Jan
Capivariano
1 : 0 Portuguesa
02 Apr
Capivariano
0 : 0 Primavera EC
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Primavera EC
(Away) 19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0 Primavera EC
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2 Noroeste
05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0 Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5 Primavera EC
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2 Paulista
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19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0 Primavera EC
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5 Primavera EC
16 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 2 Primavera EC
02 Aug
Juventus-SP
0 : 1 Primavera EC
18 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0 Primavera EC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 16 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14:2 | 16 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Sao Paulo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 7 | Capivariano | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Santos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 12 |
| 9 | Guarani | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | 12 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Mirassol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 12 | Primavera EC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:15 | 8 |
| 13 | Sao Bernardo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Noroeste | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 15 | Velo Clube | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2:13 | 5 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:14 | 1 |
Promotion - Paulista (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A2 2027 (Main)
