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Capixaba SC vs Real Noroeste - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Estadio Mario Monteiro (Sumare), Cachoeiro de Itapemirim
Capixaba SC Logo

Capixaba SC

0 - 2
FT
Real Noroeste Logo

Real Noroeste

Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Sousa da Costa R.
46'
Sub
Fabiano In: Max
Out: Fabiano
62'
Sub
Simao M. In: Gabriel Lisboa
Out: Simao M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Noroeste in this Capixaba matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Noroeste.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Capixaba SC
35%
Draws
35%
Real Noroeste
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Real Noroeste have won more games recently than Capixaba SC.
  • Model gives Capixaba SC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Capixaba form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Capixaba SC Clean Sheet 20%
Real Noroeste Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capixaba SC Real Noroeste
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.91 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Capixaba
Capixaba SC vs Real Noroeste
0:2
Jul 14, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Real Noroeste vs Capixaba SC
3:1
Jul 6, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Capixaba SC vs Real Noroeste
1:0
Jun 7, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Real Noroeste vs Capixaba SC
0:1
Feb 8, 2025 Capixaba
Capixaba SC vs Real Noroeste
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capixaba SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Real Noroeste Compare

Top Goalscorer David Lima
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capixaba SC 42 / 100
Real Noroeste 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capixaba SC Real Noroeste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Noroeste has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Capixaba SC scored in 55% of their last 22 games.

Capixaba SC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capixaba SC VS Real Noroeste
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Capixaba SC

(Home)
12 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Real Noroeste
08 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Capixaba SC
04 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Rio Branco ES
01 Feb
Vitoria ES
2 : 0
Capixaba SC
29 Jan
Capixaba SC
2 : 1
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 5

Real Noroeste

(Away)
14 Jun
Real Noroeste
0 : 0
Democrata GV
30 May
Vitoria ES
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
23 May
Tombense
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
16 May
Real Noroeste
0 : 0
Rio Branco ES
09 May
Porto-BA
1 : 2
Real Noroeste
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria ES 9 6 2 1 14:4 20
2 Serra 9 4 2 3 10:6 14
3 Vilavelhense 9 4 1 4 8:10 13
4 Rio Branco ES 9 3 4 2 10:6 13
5 Porto Vitoria 9 3 4 2 7:5 13
6 Desportiva Ferroviaria 9 3 2 4 10:11 11
7 Real Noroeste 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
8 Forte 9 2 5 2 5:4 11
9 Capixaba SC 9 3 1 5 6:13 10
10 Rio Branco-VN 9 0 5 4 8:15 5
Promotion - Capixaba (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capixaba 2 2027 (Main)