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Capixaba SC vs Rio Branco ES

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo
Wed, Apr 22, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Rio Branco ES have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Capixaba SC have conceded 1.27 and scored 0.91. Head-to-head, Capixaba SC have won 1 to Rio Branco ES's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.29 xG vs 0.99) point toward Rio Branco ES. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Capixaba SC
15%
Draws
53%
Rio Branco ES
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rio Branco ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Capixaba SC haven't matched Rio Branco ES's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rio Branco ES's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Rio Branco ES arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rio Branco ES, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Capixaba SC Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capixaba SC Rio Branco ES
Matches Played 22 44
Wins 8 15
Draws 3 15
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.91 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Capixaba SC vs Rio Branco ES
0:0
Feb 4, 2026 Capixaba
Capixaba SC vs Rio Branco ES
0:2
Jun 29, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco ES vs Capixaba SC
0:2
Mar 9, 2025 Capixaba
Capixaba SC vs Rio Branco ES
0:1
Mar 7, 2025 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Capixaba SC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capixaba SC 28 / 100
Rio Branco ES 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capixaba SC Rio Branco ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Branco ES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rio Branco ES conceded in 61% of 44 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Capixaba SC found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (22 games).

Capixaba SC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capixaba SC VS Rio Branco ES
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Capixaba SC

(Home)
12 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Real Noroeste
08 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Capixaba SC
04 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Rio Branco ES
01 Feb
Vitoria ES
2 : 0
Capixaba SC
29 Jan
Capixaba SC
2 : 1
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 5

Rio Branco ES

(Away)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto Vitoria 7 5 1 1 14:5 16
2 Vitoria ES 7 4 1 2 16:8 13
3 Vilavelhense 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
4 Rio Branco-VN 7 4 1 2 6:4 13
5 Rio Branco ES 7 3 2 2 11:7 11
6 Sport-ES 7 2 0 5 3:13 6
7 Serra 7 1 1 5 6:10 4
8 Audax Sao Mateus 7 1 1 5 2:13 4
Promotion - Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs)