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Capricorne vs Excelsior

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1 2023
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AI Match Summary

Excelsior in this Regionale 1 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Capricorne
15%
Draws
78%
Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Excelsior lately — more wins on the board than Capricorne.
  • Excelsior are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Regionale 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Excelsior here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Capricorne Clean Sheet 15%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capricorne Excelsior
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 20
Draws 8 9
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 0.77 2.22
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2023 Regionale 1
Capricorne vs Excelsior
0:2
Mar 26, 2023 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Capricorne
5:0
Aug 14, 2022 Regionale 1
Capricorne vs Excelsior
2:1
Apr 24, 2022 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Capricorne
3:0
Dec 6, 2020 Regionale 1
Capricorne vs Excelsior
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capricorne 10 / 100
Excelsior 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capricorne Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Capricorne scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Excelsior let in goals in 44% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Capricorne remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Excelsior
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Capricorne

(Home)
26 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
2 : 0
Capricorne
22 Nov
Capricorne
1 : 3
Tamponnaise
12 Nov
Saint-Pierroise
3 : 1
Capricorne
05 Nov
Capricorne
0 : 1
Sainte-Suzanne
22 Oct
Saint Louis
2 : 2
Capricorne
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Excelsior

(Away)
23 Nov
Excelsior
4 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Excelsior
3 : 0
Riviere des Galets
19 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
1 : 2
Excelsior
12 Oct
Excelsior
0 : 2
Saint-Pauloise FC
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