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CAPS Utd vs ZPC Kariba

Zimbabwe Zimbabwe

Premier Soccer League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier Soccer League game between CAPS Utd and ZPC Kariba finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CAPS Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
CAPS Utd
30%
Draws
19%
ZPC Kariba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CAPS Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • CAPS Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CAPS Utd's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
CAPS Utd Clean Sheet 68%
ZPC Kariba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CAPS Utd ZPC Kariba
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 6
Draws 11 14
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.23 0.61
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Chibuku Super Cup
CAPS Utd vs ZPC Kariba
2:1
Jun 7, 2026 Premier Soccer League
CAPS Utd vs ZPC Kariba
3:2
Aug 31, 2025 Premier Soccer League
CAPS Utd vs ZPC Kariba
1:3
May 3, 2025 Premier Soccer League
ZPC Kariba vs CAPS Utd
0:0
Aug 10, 2024 Premier Soccer League
ZPC Kariba vs CAPS Utd
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CAPS Utd 95 / 100
ZPC Kariba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CAPS Utd ZPC Kariba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAPS Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CAPS Utd has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: CAPS Utd scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: ZPC Kariba has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CAPS Utd VS ZPC Kariba
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CAPS Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
MWOS
0 : 1
CAPS Utd
12 Sept
CAPS Utd
2 : 1
ZPC Kariba
05 Sept
CAPS Utd
1 : 1
Dynamos
22 Aug
Bulawayo Chiefs
0 : 0
CAPS Utd
15 Aug
CAPS Utd
3 : 2
Simba Bhora
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ZPC Kariba

(Away)
19 Sept
Platinum
1 : 0
ZPC Kariba
12 Sept
CAPS Utd
2 : 1
ZPC Kariba
05 Sept
ZPC Kariba
0 : 0
Simba Bhora
22 Aug
MWOS
4 : 1
ZPC Kariba
15 Aug
Ngezi Platinum
0 : 1
ZPC Kariba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scottland 29 17 10 2 45:10 61
2 Hardrock 29 18 6 5 51:19 60
3 Dynamos 29 12 14 3 39:21 50
4 Ngezi Platinum 29 12 13 4 35:25 49
5 Herentals 29 14 6 9 31:26 48
6 CAPS Utd 29 12 11 6 34:25 47
7 Highlanders 29 9 15 5 26:21 42
8 Chicken Inn 29 11 8 10 23:24 41
9 MWOS 29 9 12 8 27:22 39
10 Platinum 29 8 15 6 19:20 39
11 Simba Bhora 29 8 11 10 29:30 35
12 Bulawayo Chiefs 29 7 10 12 25:33 31
13 Hunters 29 6 13 10 22:33 31
14 ZPC Kariba 29 5 14 10 17:26 29
15 Agama 29 6 7 16 17:38 25
16 Triangle 29 5 7 17 20:35 22
17 TelOne 29 4 9 16 20:42 21
18 Manica 29 4 7 18 14:44 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)