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Carabanchel vs Alcobendas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020
Thu, Apr 9, 2020
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carabanchel host Alcobendas in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020. Little to choose between these two on current form. Alcobendas have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while Carabanchel have conceded 1 and scored 0.81. Past meetings favor Alcobendas slightly — 0-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.85 vs 0.81, favoring Alcobendas. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Carabanchel
30%
Draws
43%
Alcobendas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcobendas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carabanchel come out ahead of Alcobendas on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Carabanchel's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Carabanchel Clean Sheet 20%
Alcobendas Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carabanchel Alcobendas
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 8 7
Draws 11 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.81 1.55
Goals Conceded 1 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Alcobendas
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Carabanchel
2:2
Apr 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Carabanchel
0:0
Nov 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Alcobendas
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carabanchel 42 / 100
Alcobendas 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carabanchel Alcobendas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alcobendas conceded in 80% of 20 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Carabanchel remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Carabanchel scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carabanchel VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carabanchel

(Home)
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2
Pozuelo de Alarcon
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1
Carabanchel
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1
Trival Valderas
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1
Carabanchel
Page 1 of 7

Alcobendas

(Away)
08 Mar
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcobendas
29 Feb
Alcobendas
5 : 0
RSD Alcala
23 Feb
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 1
Alcobendas
16 Feb
Alcobendas
1 : 1
AD Torrejon
09 Feb
El Alamo
1 : 2
Alcobendas
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Navalcarnero 28 16 5 7 44:22 53
2 Union Adarve 28 14 5 9 43:35 47
3 Alcorcon B 28 12 11 5 40:26 47
4 RSD Alcala 28 13 6 9 41:32 45
5 Trival Valderas 28 12 7 9 30:27 43
6 Leganes B 28 11 9 8 49:41 42
7 CD Mostoles 28 12 6 10 42:36 42
8 Pozuelo de Alarcon 28 11 7 10 36:38 40
9 Rayo Vallecano B 28 10 9 9 47:44 39
10 Flat Earth FC 28 11 9 8 36:34 39
11 Santa Ana 28 11 5 12 42:46 38
12 Carabanchel 28 9 9 10 32:32 36
13 Atletico Pinto 28 8 11 9 40:38 35
14 AD Torrejon 28 9 8 11 27:32 35
15 El Alamo 28 9 7 12 36:42 34
16 Moratalaz 28 8 10 10 29:37 34
17 San Fernando de Henares 28 8 9 11 38:42 33
18 Alcobendas 28 8 9 11 35:38 33
19 Parla 28 4 10 14 30:50 22
20 Villaverde San Andres 28 3 10 15 16:41 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)