Sport Picks
Carabanchel vs Atl. Madrid C - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 
Match Events
27'
27'
Vinatea S.
47'
47'
Gutierrez H.
67'
67'
Seidu T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Madrid C
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Carabanchel haven't matched Atl. Madrid C's recent run of results.
- 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Carabanchel Clean Sheet 11%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carabanchel | Atl. Madrid C |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 2.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.33 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Atl. Madrid C
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs Carabanchel
3:1
Mar 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs Carabanchel
2:0
Oct 27, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Atl. Madrid C
0:0
Mar 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs Carabanchel
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carabanchel Compare
Top Goalscorer Gutierrez H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67
Atl. Madrid C Compare
Top Goalscorer Vinatea S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.02
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carabanchel 35 / 100
Atl. Madrid C 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carabanchel Atl. Madrid C
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atl. Madrid C Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atl. Madrid C has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Carabanchel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Carabanchel scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Carabanchel VS Atl. Madrid C
1.29 Goals Scored 2.38
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Carabanchel
(Home) 10 May
Siello
3 : 0 Carabanchel
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2 Pozuelo de Alarcon
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1 Carabanchel
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1 Trival Valderas
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1 Carabanchel
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2 Pozuelo de Alarcon
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1 Trival Valderas
05 Apr
Carabanchel
3 : 1 Parla
22 Mar
Carabanchel
0 : 0 Mexico
01 Mar
Carabanchel
1 : 0 CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 3
Atl. Madrid C
(Away) 04 Oct
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 2 Conquense
27 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 0 Real Madrid C
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1 Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0 Atl. Madrid C
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1 Real Avila
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1 Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0 Atl. Madrid C
03 May
San Sebastian Reyes B
1 : 0 Atl. Madrid C
19 Apr
CD Las Rozas
3 : 5 Atl. Madrid C
01 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
1 : 1 Atl. Madrid C
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
