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Carabanchel vs CD Fortuna

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012 game between Carabanchel and CD Fortuna finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Carabanchel
15%
Draws
26%
CD Fortuna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carabanchel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Carabanchel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Carabanchel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Carabanchel Clean Sheet 20%
CD Fortuna Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carabanchel CD Fortuna
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 11 5
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 0.74 0.47
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs CD Fortuna
0:0
Aug 28, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Fortuna vs Carabanchel
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carabanchel 85 / 100
CD Fortuna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carabanchel CD Fortuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carabanchel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Fortuna conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Carabanchel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: CD Fortuna registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carabanchel VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carabanchel

(Home)
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2
Pozuelo de Alarcon
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1
Carabanchel
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1
Trival Valderas
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1
Carabanchel
Page 1 of 7

CD Fortuna

(Away)
05 Sept
CD Fortuna
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
13 May
Mexico
1 : 0
CD Fortuna
06 May
CD Fortuna
1 : 2
AD Colmenar
02 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2
CD Fortuna
29 Apr
CD Fortuna
1 : 4
Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Fuenlabrada 38 22 7 9 60:33 73
2 Real Madrid C 38 19 10 9 65:33 67
3 Puerta Bonita 38 18 12 8 42:32 66
4 Parla 38 18 10 10 60:39 64
5 AD Colmenar 38 17 11 10 59:42 62
6 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 16 13 9 46:40 61
7 Carabanchel 38 16 12 10 40:32 60
8 Mexico 38 15 11 12 52:43 56
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 15 10 13 47:41 55
10 Colonia Moscardo 38 13 14 11 42:31 53
11 Rayo Majadahonda 38 12 16 10 52:38 52
12 Union Adarve 38 13 13 12 32:34 52
13 Atl. Madrid C 38 12 12 14 49:52 48
14 Villaviciosa de Odon 38 13 8 17 34:48 47
15 Trival Valderas 38 10 16 12 50:52 46
16 Atletico Pinto 38 12 9 17 42:53 45
17 CD Mostoles 38 11 9 18 38:60 39
18 Navalcarnero 38 8 10 20 41:64 34
19 Vicalvaro 38 7 8 23 28:69 29
20 CD Fortuna 38 4 7 27 17:60 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)