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Carabanchel vs Mexico

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Carabanchel
30%
Draws
29%
Mexico
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carabanchel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mexico lately — more wins on the board than Carabanchel.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Carabanchel taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Carabanchel Clean Sheet 68%
Mexico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carabanchel Mexico
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.77 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Mexico
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Carabanchel
1:2
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Carabanchel
1:0
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Mexico
0:0
Jan 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Mexico
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carabanchel 50 / 100
Mexico 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carabanchel Mexico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carabanchel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mexico conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Carabanchel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Carabanchel found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Carabanchel VS Mexico
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Carabanchel

(Home)
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2
Pozuelo de Alarcon
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1
Carabanchel
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1
Trival Valderas
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1
Carabanchel
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Mexico

(Away)
19 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Union Adarve
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0
CF Fuenlabrada
10 May
Leganes B
1 : 2
Mexico
03 May
Mexico
0 : 2
Trival Valderas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)