Sport Picks
Carabanchel vs Mostoles CF
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carabanchel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Carabanchel lately — more wins on the board than Mostoles CF.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Carabanchel taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Carabanchel Clean Sheet 68%
Mostoles CF Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carabanchel | Mostoles CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Mostoles CF
1:1
Feb 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mostoles CF vs Carabanchel
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carabanchel 86 / 100
Mostoles CF 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carabanchel Mostoles CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carabanchel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Mostoles CF conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Carabanchel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: Mostoles CF has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Carabanchel VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Carabanchel
(Home) 10 May
Siello
3 : 0 Carabanchel
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2 Pozuelo de Alarcon
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1 Carabanchel
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1 Trival Valderas
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1 Carabanchel
Page 1 of 7
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2 Pozuelo de Alarcon
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1 Trival Valderas
05 Apr
Carabanchel
3 : 1 Parla
22 Mar
Carabanchel
0 : 0 Mexico
01 Mar
Carabanchel
1 : 0 CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 4
Mostoles CF
(Away) 20 Jun
Paracuellos Antamira
3 : 1 Mostoles CF
13 Jun
Mostoles CF
0 : 3 San Fernando de Henares
06 Jun
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
4 : 0 Mostoles CF
27 May
Mostoles CF
2 : 0 Santa Ana
23 May
AD Alcala
0 : 2 Mostoles CF
Page 1 of 6
20 Jun
Paracuellos Antamira
3 : 1 Mostoles CF
06 Jun
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
4 : 0 Mostoles CF
23 May
AD Alcala
0 : 2 Mostoles CF
02 May
San Fernando de Henares
1 : 0 Mostoles CF
18 Apr
Santa Ana
0 : 2 Mostoles CF
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Adarve | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 41:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Moratalaz | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 36:20 | 40 |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano B | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 35:27 | 38 |
| 4 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 33:20 | 38 |
| 5 | Flat Earth FC | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 19:18 | 33 |
| 6 | AD Torrejon | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 32:17 | 32 |
| 7 | AD Alcala | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22:22 | 30 |
| 8 | RSD Alcala | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 9 | Paracuellos Antamira | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 18:27 | 26 |
| 10 | Villanueva del Pardillo CF | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14:28 | 19 |
| 11 | San Fernando de Henares | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 18:36 | 18 |
| 12 | Santa Ana | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11:51 | 10 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leganes B | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 34:12 | 50 |
| 2 | CD Mostoles | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28:11 | 44 |
| 3 | Alcorcon B | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 32:15 | 34 |
| 4 | Parla | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20:20 | 28 |
| 5 | Carabanchel | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 18:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Pinto | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 20:30 | 24 |
| 7 | Trival Valderas | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 15:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Villaverde San Andres | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18:29 | 21 |
| 9 | El Alamo | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 24:33 | 16 |
| 10 | Mostoles CF | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15:26 | 15 |
| 11 | Real Aranjuez | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19:32 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
