Sport Picks

Venezuela

Copa Venezuela

Caracas

1 - 1

Aragua

Our Tip

Match Events

58'

Hernandez R.

62'

Valdes P.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

Caracas

30%

Draws

54%

Aragua

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aragua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence

Caracas average 1.2 goals a game right now, well clear of Aragua's 0.83.
Aragua are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Caracas, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 38%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Caracas Clean Sheet 29%

Aragua Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Caracas	Aragua
Matches Played	25	24
Wins	7	7
Draws	10	8
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	1.2	0.83
Goals Conceded	1.44	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.32	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Copa Venezuela

Aragua vs Caracas

0:0

Jun 24, 2026 Copa Venezuela

Caracas vs Aragua

1:1

Jun 25, 2025 Copa Venezuela

Caracas vs Aragua

4:0

Jun 18, 2025 Copa Venezuela

Aragua vs Caracas

2:1

Sep 18, 2022 Liga FUTVE

Aragua vs Caracas

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caracas Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.25

Avg xA / game 0.16

Aragua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caracas 22 / 100

Aragua 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Caracas Aragua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Caracas scored in 80% of their last 25 outings.

Defensive concern: Aragua conceded in 67% of 24 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Caracas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caracas VS Aragua

0.13 Goals Scored 0.5

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5

38% Over 1.5 38%

13% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caracas

(Home)

06 Aug

Academia Puerto Cabello

3 : 1

Caracas

03 Aug

Caracas

2 : 2

Estudiantes Merida

31 Jul

Caracas

0 : 3

Santa Fe

24 Jul

Santa Fe

2 : 0

Caracas

24 Jun

Caracas

1 : 1

Aragua

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Aragua

(Away)

01 Aug

Aragua

1 : 0

Bolivar

26 Jul

Deportivo Miranda

2 : 1

Aragua

24 Jun

Caracas

1 : 1

Aragua

06 Jun

Aragua

1 : 2

Monagas B

31 May

Dynamo Puerto FC

1 : 2

Aragua

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